Orin
BBYNYSE·Specialty Retail

Best Buy Co., Inc. BBY

Market cap $19.1BP/E 15.1× trailingGross margin 22.7%
$90.80
−4.02 (−4.24%)Wed close 16:00 ET
52-wk $55.10 – $96.53
Watch
Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 28 Aug · take v7. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Best Buy's Q2 FY2027 results (reported August 27, 2026) delivered enterprise revenue of $9.8 billion with comparable sales growth of 4.1%, prompting management to raise full-year guidance — a clear acceleration from FY2026's 0.4% revenue growth and the first sustained positive comp trend in three years. The stock trades at a P/E of 13.9x, roughly 50% below the peer median of 27.8x, while smart money positioning turned modestly positive (score 0.0198 as of the quarter ended 2026-06-30).

Persistent insider net selling of 3.36M shares worth $288.8M over 24 months and operating margins stuck near 4.2% versus 5.8% in FY2022 temper enthusiasm, but the combination of accelerating top-line growth, raised guidance, AI-driven omnichannel initiatives, and a deeply discounted valuation supports upgrading to buy.

What could go wrong

  • Margin stagnation. Operating margin remains at 4.2% in FY2026 versus 5.8% in FY2022; failure to re-expand margins limits earnings power even with revenue growth.
  • Persistent insider selling. Net insider disposition of 3.36M shares worth $288.8M over 24 months, including Schulze's sales on 2026-07-14, signals continued lack of insider conviction at these levels.
  • Consumer cyclicality. Electronics retail is discretionary; any macro deterioration could reverse the comp sales momentum seen in Q2 FY2027.
  • Sell-the-news dynamic. Shares declined approximately 5% on the Q2 beat despite raised guidance, suggesting expectations may already be pricing in improvement.

What would change my mind

Holiday comp sales. Q4 FY2027 comparable sales growth sustains above 4%bullish
Operating margin re-expansion. Quarterly operating margin moves above 4.5%bullish
Comp sales deceleration. Comparable sales growth falls below 2% in any upcoming quarterbearish
Insider sentiment reversal. Net insider transactions turn positive over a rolling 6-month windowbullish

Where this comes from: news articles published 2026-08-27 (GuruFocus, Zacks, Proactive Investors) · derived_metrics, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · peer_relative · smart_money. Orin's read on BBY; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
State Street$1.1B0.0% of fund
Vanguard Capital Management$980.9M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$699.6M0.0% of fund
Geode Capital Management$617.9M0.0% of fund
Charles Schwab Investment Management$521.5M0.1% of fund
Invesco$385.1M0.0% of fund

82 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 82 Form 4 filings, net −$316.6M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 19 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

Ask Orin about BBY

its filings · its transcripts · its numbers

Orin answers questions about BBY from its filings, transcripts and numbers — with the source behind every claim. Your own desk starts with 3 free days, card required.

Start 3 free days

Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Consumer Cyclical
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E15.1×13.3×79.6×
EV/EBITDA8.1×7.3×
P/S0.45×0.41×
P/B6.0×6.6×

Its P/E sits 80th percentile of its own last 5 years (+0.37σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

4.0%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $1.3B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

41 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$84

$60$100 · −7% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 11 buy or overweight
  • 24 hold
  • 6 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 25.8× of 6 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.$19B15.1×8.1×22.7%3.0%43%
AMCRAmcor plc$20B17.9×10.0×20.0%4.7%9%
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.$22B28.6×16.9×23.8%4.1%20%
GPCGenuine Parts Company$18B495.2×32.4×36.2%0.1%1%
LULULululemon Athletica Inc.$12B8.4×4.8×56.1%12.8%30%
PKGPackaging Corporation of America$21B31.2×13.7×20.1%7.2%15%
WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.$27B23.0×14.2×47.2%14.7%58%

The median is of the 6 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 41.6% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY15 10.0×FY26 12.9×

What its sector has traded at

Consumer Cyclical
FY14 393.1×FY26 81.0×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$76$75.93 · −0%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$66$75.93 · −14%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $90.80
52-week range$55 – $97
Analyst targets$60 – $100
Standard DCF$76 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $75.93
Levered DCF$66 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $75.93
At own 5y-median P/E (13×)$80
At 5y P/E range (10–20×)$59 – $120
At sector P/E (80×)$479

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.