Orin
ANYSE·Medical - Diagnostics & Research

Agilent Technologies, Inc. A

Market cap $47.1BP/E 32.5× trailingGross margin 53.7%
$166.84
+1.52 (+0.92%)live 09:40 ET
52-wk $108.35 – $168.94
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Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 1 Sep · take v9. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Agilent Technologies earns a buy following Q3 FY2026 results that beat consensus EPS by 8.7% ($1.62 actual vs. $1.49 estimated) on revenue of $1.878B (+8.06% YoY), with management raising full-year guidance on improving lab tools demand. The stock has cooled from overbought conditions (RSI 52.8, down from 67.1 at the prior hold call) while trading at a 10.5% PE discount to the peer median (29.5x vs. 32.9x), and quarterly revenue growth has been accelerating across FY2026 with Q1 at +7.0% and Q2 at +10.0% YoY.

Free cash flow declined to $1.152B in FY2025 from $1.474B in FY2023, but the combination of strengthening top-line momentum, raised guidance, and reduced technical stretch supports upgrading from hold to buy.

What could go wrong

  • Free cash flow deterioration. FY2025 free cash flow of $1.152B is down from $1.474B in FY2023, with FCF margin compressing to 16.58% from 21.57%, partly driven by capex rising to $407M from $298M over the same period.
  • EV/EBITDA premium to peers. At 22.6x EV/EBITDA, Agilent trades at a 28.6% premium to the peer median of 17.6x, limiting upside if growth disappoints or if peers re-rate.
  • Gross margin compression. FY2025 gross margin of 52.43% is below FY2024's 54.30% and FY2022's 54.35%, and continued cost pressure could offset revenue growth benefits.
  • Insider selling pattern. Over the trailing 24 months, insiders recorded 58 dispositions versus 33 acquisitions with net value of -$2.35M, including CEO McDonnell selling 418 shares at $137.40 in June 2026.

What would change my mind

Q4 FY2026 earnings. Revenue growth above 10% YoY with EPS beat exceeding 5% would confirm momentum; growth decelerating below 6% or an EPS miss would signal the recovery is stalling.bullish
Free cash flow recovery. FY2026 full-year free cash flow recovering above $1.3B (toward FY2024's $1.373B) would alleviate the key bearish concern; further decline below $1.1B would be bearish.bullish
Gross margin re-expansion. Gross margin returning above 53% in coming quarters would indicate pricing power is intact; compression below 52% would signal structural margin pressure.bullish
EV/EBITDA re-rating. If the stock's EV/EBITDA premium to the peer median (currently 28.6%) widens above 35% without commensurate growth acceleration, the valuation cushion would erode.bearish

Where this comes from: FMP quarterly_results, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · FMP earnings_surprises, period ending 2026-08-26 · FMP technicals as of 2026-09-01; prior verdict · FMP peer_relative. Orin's read on A; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$2.5B0.1% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$1.9B0.1% of fund
State Street$1.7B0.1% of fund
Massachusetts Financial Services /Ma/$1.4B0.4% of fund
Geode Capital Management$1.0B0.1% of fund
Wellington Management Group Llp$990.2M0.2% of fund

102 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 93 Form 4 filings, net −$2.3M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 4 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Healthcare
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E32.5×31.8×26.4×
EV/EBITDA24.8×22.6×
P/S6.33×5.96×
P/B6.3×6.4×

Its P/E sits 60th percentile of its own last 5 years (+0.18σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

17.3%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $1.2B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

41 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$170

$150$185 · +2% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 33 buy or overweight
  • 7 hold
  • 1 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 33.5× of 7 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
AAgilent Technologies, Inc.$47B32.5×24.8×53.7%19.5%20%
BDXBecton, Dickinson and Company$50B55.0×17.0×46.1%4.5%4%
CAHCardinal Health, Inc.$52B30.4×16.4×3.8%0.7%-60%
EWEdwards Lifesciences Corporation$50B49.9×31.0×78.0%15.4%10%
IQVIQVIA Holdings Inc.$44B32.9×16.6×26.2%8.1%22%
MTDMettler-Toledo International Inc.$30B33.5×24.7×58.4%21.9%-1200%
RMDResMed Inc.$32B21.3×14.7×61.2%26.9%24%
WATWaters Corporation$41B104.6×51.4×50.8%3.6%2%

The median is of the 7 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 3.1% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 24.0×FY25 31.9×

What its sector has traded at

Healthcare
FY14 6.5×FY26 28.6×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$75$132.83 · −43%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$74$132.83 · −44%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $166.84
52-week range$108 – $169
Analyst targets$150 – $185
Standard DCF$75 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $132.83
Levered DCF$74 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $132.83
At own 5y-median P/E (32×)$162
At 5y P/E range (25–39×)$125 – $201
At sector P/E (26×)$134

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.