Orin
AMKRNasdaq·Semiconductors

Amkor Technology, Inc. AMKR

Market cap $13.3BP/E 23.5× trailingGross margin 15.5%Reports Mon 26 Oct, after the close
$53.53
+0.84 (+1.59%)live 11:25 ET
52-wk $28.03 – $96.68
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Orin's take
0.55conviction · moderate
Refreshed 1 Sep · take v5. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Amkor trades at a deep discount to semiconductor peers — PE of 21.12x versus a 39.18x peer median and EV/EBITDA of 9.16x versus 29.23x — but the stock has broken below both its 50-day ($62.07) and 200-day ($55.81) moving averages, closing at $47.30 on August 31 after declining from $58.99 at the prior buy call on August 16. FY2025 fundamentals show revenue growth of 6.2% but ongoing gross margin compression to 13.99% (versus 18.75% in FY2022) and FCF falling to $191M from $520.6M in FY2023 as capex reached $904.6M.

Institutional inflows are encouraging — BlackRock established a new $1.06B position and fund count rose to 58 — but until the technical downtrend reverses and the margin trajectory stabilizes, the risk/reward is balanced rather than compelling.

What could go wrong

  • Margin compression continues. Gross margin has declined from 18.75% (FY2022) to 13.99% (FY2025) while operating margin fell from 12.65% to 6.97%; further compression would erode the valuation case.
  • FCF deterioration from elevated capex. FY2025 capex of $904.6M against operating cash flow of $1.096B left FCF at only $191M (2.85% margin), down from $520.6M in FY2023, limiting financial flexibility.
  • Technical breakdown deepens. Stock is trading well below both the 50-day ($62.07) and 200-day ($55.81) MAs with RSI at 38.6; a further leg lower could trigger additional institutional outflows.
  • Persistent insider selling. Insiders have net sold 28.9M shares ($909M) over the past 24 months, with recent August transactions showing continued exercise-and-sell activity by multiple executives.

What would change my mind

Technical reversal. Stock reclaims and holds above the 200-day MA ($55.81) on rising volumebullish
Margin stabilization. Next quarterly results show gross margin holding or expanding above 14% with operating margin above 7%bullish
FCF recovery. Capex moderates toward FY2024 levels ($744M) allowing FCF to recover above $300M annualizedbullish
Further technical breakdown. Stock breaks below $42 with RSI below 30 on elevated volumebearish

Where this comes from: peer_relative composite · peer_relative composite · technicals as of 2026-08-31 · FMP FY2025 annual + derived_metrics. Orin's read on AMKR; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

FormFiledWhat it saysRead
10-Q28 JulAmkor Technology, Inc. reported net sales of $1,897.965 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, an increase of 25.6% year-over-year from $1,511.392 million for the same…read
8-K27 JulAmkor Technology, Inc. announced its financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, on July 27, 2026. The company furnished this information via a press…read
8-K21 MayAmkor Technology, Inc. will host an Investor Day on May 21, 2026, at Convene 810 Seventh Avenue in New York City. The company is furnishing an investor presentation, dated May 21…read
8-K19 MayAmkor Technology, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 13, 2026, triggering Item 5.07. Stockholders elected 11 director nominees for one-year terms. All nominees…read
8-K5 MayAmkor Technology, Inc. issued $1,150,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 on May 5, 2026, with an additional $150,000,000 issued due to…read
13D/A5 MayThe Kim family group, comprising 44 reporting persons, collectively beneficially owns 122,666,110 shares of Amkor Technology, Inc.read
8-K1 MayAmkor Technology, Inc. priced an offering of $1,000,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 on April 30, 2026. The company intends to use the…read
8-K30 AprAmkor Technology, Inc. announced its intention to offer $1,000,000,000 aggregate principal amount of convertible notes due 2031 on April 30, 2026. This event triggered Item 8.01…read

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$837.5M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Capital Management$577.8M0.0% of fund
Jpmorgan Chase &$470.0M0.0% of fund
State Street$321.7M0.0% of fund
Aqr Capital Management$273.8M0.1% of fund
Earnest Partners$246.0M0.9% of fund

86 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 614 Form 4 filings, net −$908.8M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 9 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

· Technology
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E23.5×—53.3×
EV/EBITDA10.1×——
P/S1.76×——
P/B2.8×——
What the price assumes

24.6%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.2B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

14 firms · 2026-09-24
Consensus target

$79

$65 – $90 · +47% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 7 buy or overweight
  • 6 hold
  • 1 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 45.3× of 9 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.$13B23.5×10.1×15.5%7.4%12%
LSCCLattice Semiconductor Corporation$17B462.1×191.6×67.7%5.6%5%
MKSIMKS Inc.$17B39.4×22.4×44.1%10.1%16%
NVMINova Ltd.$12B41.4×36.6×57.1%28.8%20%
OLEDUniversal Display Corporation$3B17.7×12.7×75.3%32.2%11%
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.$14B104.4×53.4×50.4%11.8%7%
QRVOQorvo, Inc.$10B26.7×13.5×48.2%11.0%11%
RMBSRambus Inc.$11B47.1×35.3×78.3%31.7%17%
SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc.$13B45.3×16.5×40.7%7.2%5%
TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.$25B87.4×44.4×26.9%16.9%10%

The median is of the 9 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 48.0% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 12.7×FY25 26.1×

What its sector has traded at

Technology
FY14 9.0×FY26 48.0×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Every estimate on one scale

price $53.53
52-week range$28 – $97
Analyst targets$65 – $90
At sector P/E (53×)$119

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.