Orin
BRNYSE·Information Technology Services

Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. BR

Market cap $18.9BP/E 16.9× trailingGross margin 31.8%Reports Tue 3 Nov, before the open
$163.45
+0.43 (+0.26%)Wed close 16:00 ET
52-wk $133.83 – $239.60
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Orin's take
0.65conviction · moderate
Refreshed 21 Aug · take v9. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Broadridge closed FY2026 (ended 2026-06-30) with revenue of $7.48B (up 8.5% YoY), diluted EPS of $9.60 (up 35.2%), and an operating margin of 17.4% — the fourth consecutive year of margin expansion — while free cash flow reached $1.28B at a 17.1% FCF margin. At 18.2x PE and 12.4x EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a slight premium to the peer median on earnings but a 2.5% discount on EV/EBITDA, a reasonable valuation for a recurring-revenue franchise whose Distributed Ledger Repo platform processed $8.0 trillion in July 2026 (28% YoY growth).

The stock has rallied 11.9% in the past month to $176.03, lifting RSI to 67 and approaching the 200-day MA of $179.61, which may temper near-term upside even as the fundamental trajectory remains strong.

What could go wrong

  • Technical extension. RSI at 67.1 and price 16% above the 50-day MA of $151.58 suggest near-term exhaustion; the 200-day MA at $179.61 may act as resistance.
  • Smart money outflows. Smart money score has declined from 0.05 in Q4 2024 to -0.0043 as of Q2 2026, with Bank of America cutting its position by 19.4%.
  • Leverage. Total debt of $3.52B against stockholders' equity of $2.84B leaves limited balance-sheet flexibility for large acquisitions or buyback acceleration.
  • DLR monetization timeline. Distributed Ledger Repo volumes are growing but the contribution to consolidated revenue and margins is not separately disclosed, creating uncertainty about the growth optionality already priced in.

What would change my mind

200-day MA breakout. Sustained close above $179.61 on above-average volumebullish
Smart money reversal. Q3 2026 13F composite smart money score turns positive above 0.01bullish
Margin compression. Operating margin falls below 17% in the next reported quarterbearish
DLR volume deceleration. Monthly DLR ADV growth slows below 15% YoYbearish

Where this comes from: FMP FY2026 annual + derived_metrics · FMP FY2026 annual + derived_metrics · derived_metrics FY2022–FY2026 · FMP FY2026 annual + derived_metrics. Orin's read on BR; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$1.0B0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$835.4M0.0% of fund
State Street$787.8M0.0% of fund
Charles Schwab Investment Management$506.7M0.1% of fund
Geode Capital Management$451.5M0.0% of fund
Alliancebernstein L.P$400.6M0.1% of fund

88 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 201 Form 4 filings, net $7.9M. Of the 50 on hand, 1 was an open-market purchase and 1 a sale— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Technology
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E16.9×33.1×53.3×
EV/EBITDA11.6×17.5×
P/S2.53×3.56×
P/B6.6×10.3×

Its P/E sits below all 5 of the last 5 years (−11.00σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

3.6%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $1.3B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

24 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$199

$176$226 · +22% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 15 buy or overweight
  • 9 hold
  • 0 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 17.5× of 7 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.$19B16.9×11.6×31.8%15.0%40%
CDWCDW Corporation$19B17.5×13.3×21.4%4.6%43%
FLEXFlex Ltd.$41B43.4×23.4×9.5%3.3%19%
HPQHP Inc.$29B12.1×9.5×19.8%4.1%-727%
ITGartner, Inc.$12B16.0×10.3×68.9%12.0%401%
JBLJabil Inc.$32B38.1×16.4×9.2%2.6%62%
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.$16B11.5×9.4×17.4%7.9%28%
TDYTeledyne Technologies Incorporated$29B29.9×19.2×39.0%15.3%9%

The median is of the 7 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 3.6% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY15 20.9×FY26 14.2×

What its sector has traded at

Technology
FY14 9.0×FY26 48.0×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$226$148.62 · +52%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$223$148.62 · +50%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $163.45
52-week range$134 – $240
Analyst targets$176 – $226
Standard DCF$226 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $148.62
Levered DCF$223 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $148.62
At own 5y-median P/E (33×)$321
At 5y P/E range (31–34×)$299 – $331
At sector P/E (53×)$516

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.