Orin
BRCNYSE·Security & Protection Services

Brady Corporation BRC

Market cap $4.0BP/E 19.4× trailingGross margin 51.7%
$83.82
+0.43 (+0.52%)Wed close 16:00 ET
52-wk $70.57 – $99.29
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Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 3 Sep · take v4. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Brady Corporation just reported record fiscal 2026 full-year results and guided fiscal 2027 adjusted diluted EPS to grow 23% at the midpoint, driven by the completed $1.4 billion acquisition of Honeywell's PSS business on August 3, 2026. Quarterly revenue growth has accelerated from 7.5% in Q1 FY2026 to 13.8% in Q3 FY2026, earnings surprises have been positive in four of the last five quarters, and the CEO personally purchased $1.0 million of stock at $76.86 per share in June 2026.

At a P/E of 20.4 versus the peer median of 23.5 and an EV/EBITDA of 13.3 versus the peer median of 13.7, the stock trades at a discount to peers despite a stronger growth trajectory, while RSI at 39.4 and a price below the 50-day MA of $93.0 suggest a tactical entry point ahead of the integration ramp.

What could go wrong

  • Integration and leverage risk. The $1.4 billion all-cash PSS acquisition was funded with cash, a credit facility, and private placement debt on top of total debt that already rose from $80.7M in FY2023 to $158.6M in FY2025. Integration costs and elevated leverage could delay the margin recovery implied by FY2027 guidance.
  • Margin compression trend. FY2025 operating margin compressed to 15.6% from 18.2% in FY2024 even as revenue grew 12.8%, and diluted EPS declined 3.2% to $3.92. If the PSS deal does not rapidly improve margins, the 103% P/S premium over the peer median of 1.29 becomes harder to justify.
  • Technical weakness. The stock at $90.39 trades below its 50-day MA of $93.0 with a bearish MACD histogram of -0.50 and RSI of 39.4, indicating near-term selling pressure that could deepen if integration updates disappoint.
  • Institutional outflows. Smart money score is near zero at 0.0002 as of 2026-06-30, and recent 13F filings show Dimensional Fund Advisors and Bessemer Group reducing positions in Q1 2026.

What would change my mind

FY2027 guidance achievement. First-half FY2027 adjusted EPS tracks toward the 23% growth midpoint guided by management, confirming PSS synergies are materializing.bullish
Debt reduction progress. Brady reports meaningful paydown of acquisition-related debt within the first two quarters post-close, indicating cash flow generation is sufficient to deleverage.bullish
Margin deterioration post-integration. Operating margin fails to recover above the FY2025 level of 15.6% within two quarters of closing the PSS deal, signaling integration drag exceeds synergies.bearish
Revenue growth deceleration. Quarterly revenue growth falls below the 7.5% level seen in Q1 FY2026, suggesting the acquired business is not contributing as expected.bearish

Where this comes from: GlobeNewsWire press release 2026-08-03 · GlobeNewsWire press release 2026-09-03 · Quarterly results, fiscal year 2026 · Insider transactions. Orin's read on BRC; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Fmr$597.2M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$234.6M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Capital Management$170.1M0.0% of fund
State Street$153.8M0.0% of fund
Geode Capital Management$75.9M0.0% of fund
Goldman Sachs Group$44.1M0.0% of fund

55 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 139 Form 4 filings, net −$12.7M. Of the 50 on hand, 1 was an open-market purchase and 15 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

· Industrials
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E19.4×44.5×
EV/EBITDA12.2×
P/S2.38×
P/B2.9×
What the price assumes

11.1%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.2B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 23.8× of 4 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
BRCBrady Corporation$4B19.4×12.2×51.7%12.4%16%
CXTCrane NXT, Co.$3B19.8×13.8×42.1%7.8%11%
KFYKorn Ferry$4B13.6×6.9×9.9%9.4%14%
MYRGMYR Group Inc.$5B27.8×15.3×12.4%4.1%24%
TPCTutor Perini Corporation$4B35.8×13.1×11.5%2.1%10%

The median is of the 4 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 18.7% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY15 392.0×FY26 21.8×

What its sector has traded at

Industrials
FY14 173.5×FY26 32.7×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Every estimate on one scale

price $83.82
52-week range$71 – $99
At sector P/E (45×)$193

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.