Orin
CLHNYSE·Waste Management

Clean Harbors, Inc. CLH

Market cap $16.5BP/E 37.9× trailingGross margin 26.6%Reports Wed 4 Nov, before the open
$313.46
+0.32 (+0.10%)live 09:30 ET
52-wk $201.34 – $335.94
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Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 16 Aug · take v3. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Clean Harbors remains a premier hazardous-waste franchise with improving free cash flow ($438M in 2025 vs $346M in 2024) and accelerating institutional interest (smart money score rising from -0.056 to 0.200 over five quarters, fund count from 30 to 47), but the stock trades at 38.9x trailing earnings — a 56% premium to the peer median of 25.0x — against decelerating fundamentals: 2025 revenue grew just 2.4% while gross profit fell from $1.82B to $1.78B and EPS declined from $7.42 to $7.28. The $470M EnviroServe acquisition adds strategic scale but increases leverage on top of debt already at $3.45B (up from $3.04B YoY), and persistent net insider selling (-465K shares, -$124M over 24 months) tempers enthusiasm at these levels.

The raised 2026 guidance and $600M disposal contract are positive catalysts, but the valuation leaves no margin for execution missteps.

What could go wrong

  • Margin compression. Gross profit declined from $1.82B in 2024 to $1.78B in 2025 despite revenue growth, signaling cost pressure that could worsen if disposal pricing softens.
  • Valuation premium. PE of 38.9x is 56% above peer median of 25.0x and PS of 2.72x is 115% above peer median of 1.26x, leaving the stock vulnerable to any guidance miss.
  • Rising leverage. Total debt increased to $3.45B in 2025 from $3.04B in 2024, and the $470M EnviroServe acquisition adds further cash outflow and integration risk.
  • Insider selling. Net insider disposition of 465K shares worth $124M over 24 months with no cluster buys suggests limited insider conviction at current prices.

What would change my mind

Margin recovery. Gross profit returns to growth trajectory with gross margin expansion in next two quarterly reportsbullish
EnviroServe accretion. Acquisition closes and management quantifies accretion with deleveraging timeline within 1–2 quarters post-closebullish
Guidance miss or cut. Quarterly revenue or EPS falls below raised 2026 guidance, confirming deceleration thesisbearish
Valuation compression. PE multiple contracts toward peer median (25x) without commensurate EPS growth, implying 30%+ downsidebearish

Where this comes from: FMP fundamentals FY2024–FY2025 · FMP fundamentals FY2024–FY2025 · FMP fundamentals FY2024–FY2025 · peer_relative composite. Orin's read on CLH; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Wellington Management Group Llp$942.6M0.2% of fund
Fmr$897.0M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Capital Management$652.2M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$592.5M0.0% of fund
State Street$472.6M0.0% of fund
Geode Capital Management$337.4M0.0% of fund

84 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 203 Form 4 filings, net −$124.9M. Of the 50 on hand, 1 was an open-market purchase and 10 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

· Industrials
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E37.9×44.5×
EV/EBITDA15.7×
P/S2.65×
P/B5.7×
What the price assumes

16.3%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.4B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

28 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$353

$315$390 · +13% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 18 buy or overweight
  • 10 hold
  • 0 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 28.9× of 4 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$17B37.9×15.7×26.6%7.0%16%
ARMKAramark$15B38.2×15.0×6.6%1.9%12%
AYIAcuity Brands, Inc.$9B19.8×12.0×49.3%10.3%17%
CRCrane Company$12B35.3×22.5×41.7%13.0%16%
OCOwens Corning$10B22.5×26.2%-6.8%-17%
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.$14B22.5×12.8×31.7%4.1%7%

The median is of the 4 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 31.1% above it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY15 54.8×FY25 32.1×

What its sector has traded at

Industrials
FY14 173.5×FY26 32.7×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Every estimate on one scale

price $313.46
52-week range$201 – $336
Analyst targets$315 – $390
At sector P/E (45×)$368

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.