Orin
CRLNYSE·Medical - Diagnostics & Research

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. CRL

Market cap $14.1BP/E —no earnings to divide byGross margin 32.2%Reports Wed 4 Nov, before the open
$291.69
−2.75 (−0.93%)live 11:30 ET
52-wk $145.32 – $303.31
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Orin's take
0.72conviction · high
Refreshed 21 Aug · take v8. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Charles River Laboratories has rallied to $290 — well above its 50-day moving average of $229.93 and 200-day of $192.89 — with an overbought RSI of 74.48, despite carrying a negative FY2025 EPS of -$2.91 and a net loss of $144M on declining revenue of $4.02B. While Q2 2026 results exceeded expectations and management raised full-year guidance, the stock trades at 3.49x sales and 76.22x EV/EBITDA — roughly 191% and 274% above peer medians respectively — pricing in a recovery that has not yet restored profitability.

Insiders including the CEO and founder James Foster exercised options at $179.66 and sold common shares near $280, with net insider selling of $15.6M over 24 months, reinforcing the unfavorable risk/reward at these extended levels.

What could go wrong

  • Demand recovery accelerates. If biopharma R&D spending rebounds faster than management's gradual outlook, DSA revenue and margins could inflect positively, justifying a higher multiple.
  • Margin expansion materializes. FY2025 gross margin of 30.5% is well below the 36.4% level of FY2023; any structural cost reductions or pricing improvements could drive outsized operating leverage.
  • M&A or strategic action. With total debt of $3.07B and stockholders' equity of $3.16B as of FY2025, a divestiture or restructuring could unlock value that the market is not currently crediting.
  • Short squeeze dynamics. The stock is already technically extended with RSI above 74; further momentum-driven buying could push shares higher in the near term regardless of fundamentals.

What would change my mind

Q3 2026 earnings show sustained margin recovery. Gross margin reclaims levels above 33% and operating margin exceeds 15% on a quarterly basis, confirming the inflection from FY2025's compressed marginsbullish
Revenue returns to growth. Quarterly revenue grows year-over-year, breaking the streak of annual declines from $4.13B (2023) to $4.02B (2025)bullish
Technical breakdown from overbought levels. Stock closes below the 50-day moving average of $229.93 on elevated volume, signaling exhaustion of the post-Q2 rallybearish
Guidance cut or demand deterioration. Management lowers full-year revenue or earnings guidance, reversing the Q2 2026 raise and indicating the recovery is stallingbearish

Where this comes from: FMP annual fundamentals FY2025 · derived_metrics FY2023 and FY2025 · technicals as of 2026-08-19 · peer_relative composite. Orin's read on CRL; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Fmr$961.5M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Capital Management$714.2M0.0% of fund
Invesco$676.9M0.1% of fund
Harris Associates L P$508.3M0.7% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$501.4M0.0% of fund
State Street$422.8M0.0% of fund

73 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 189 Form 4 filings, net −$26.5M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 18 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Healthcare
MetricNowOwn medianSector
EV/EBITDA77.2×14.4×—
P/S3.55×2.78×—
P/B5.0×3.4×—

Its P/E sits 20th percentile of its own last 5 years (−0.68σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

12.0%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.5B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

37 firms · 2026-09-24
Consensus target

$282

$219 – $330 · −3% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 27 buy or overweight
  • 10 hold
  • 0 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 43.4× of 2 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
CRLCharles River Laboratories International, Inc.$14B—77.2×32.2%-6.0%-8%
BAXBaxter International Inc.$12B—26.2×30.1%-9.3%-17%
DVADaVita Inc.$11B15.0×7.7×31.0%6.0%-124%
RVTYRevvity, Inc.$17B71.8×24.9×52.1%8.2%3%

The median is of the 2 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 23.4×FY23 25.5×

What its sector has traded at

Healthcare
FY14 6.5×FY26 28.5×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$125$188.88 · −34%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$77$188.88 · −59%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $291.69
52-week range$144 – $303
Analyst targets$219 – $330
Standard DCF$125 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $188.88
Levered DCF$77 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $188.88

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.