Orin
DGXNYSE·Medical - Diagnostics & Research

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

Market cap $26.7BP/E 23.8× trailingGross margin 33.1%Reports Tue 9 Feb 2027, before the open
$242.56
−0.39 (−0.16%)Tue 27 Oct close 16:00 ET
52-wk $171.18 – $248.84
Orin's take
7out of 10 — how sure Orin is of this read

Orin's own judgment of how firmly the evidence points one way — not the chance the price goes up.

Refreshed 21 Oct, the 9th take on DGX — written before the latest event Orin flagged. An update has been queued since 22 Oct and hasn't run yet.

Quest Diagnostics is a buy.

FY2025 revenue grew 11.8% to $11.04B with operating margin expanding to 14.5% from 13.6% in FY2024, and Q2 2026 sustained double-digit revenue growth at 10.2% YoY with EPS of $2.84. The stock trades at a PE of 24.83 — roughly 50.7% below the peer median of 50.42 — despite four consecutive earnings beats culminating in a 10.6% surprise in the most recent quarter. FCF margin improved to 12.3% in FY2025 from 9.2% in FY2024, and the Waters Corporation HPV at-home screening partnership announced October 20, 2026 extends Quest's consumer-channel reach starting in 2027, supporting continued top-line momentum.

What could go wrong

  • Gross margin compression. Gross margin has declined for four straight years from 39.0% in FY2021 to 31.9% in FY2025, a structural concern even as operating margin expands through cost discipline elsewhere.
  • Persistent insider selling. Over the trailing 24 months, insiders net sold 273,646 shares for $53.7M, with CEO J.E. Davis selling 10,000 shares at $242.72 on September 1, 2026; zero open-market acquisitions were recorded.
  • Elevated leverage. Total debt stood at $6.919B as of FY2025 against stockholders' equity of $7.170B, limiting financial flexibility if reimbursement pressures intensify.
  • Extended above 200-day MA. At $237.12 the stock trades 13% above its 200-day MA of $209.48 and is pinned at the 50-day MA of $237.35, leaving limited near-term technical cushion.

What would change my mind

Q3 2026 earnings release. Revenue growth above 10% YoY with operating margin at or above 15% and a positive EPS surprisebullish
Gross margin stabilization. Quarterly gross margin holds at or above 32% for two consecutive quartersbullish
Medicare reimbursement cut. Confirmed implementation of lab-testing reimbursement reductions that compress revenue per testbearish
Insider cluster buy. One or more open-market insider purchases exceeding $1M aggregate valuebullish

Where this comes from: FY25 fundamentals · Q2 2026 results · peer comparison · earnings vs estimates. Orin's read on DGX; not advice.

How has the share price moved?

27 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2026

Up 34.6% over twelve months, from $180.26 on 27 Oct 2025 to $242.56 at the Tue 27 Oct 2026 close. Its highest close in that time was $247.45 on 17 Sep 2026; the last close is 2.0% below it.

Jan 2026AprJulOct
    • Green line: the closing price each trading day.
    • Grey line: the average closing price over the last 50 trading days.
    • Dashed amber line: the same over the last 200 trading days — a slower, smoother line.
    • Bars along the bottom: shares traded each day — green when it closed higher than the day before, rose when lower (the most, 3.8M, on 23 Jul 2026).
    • Flags: the company's filings, on the day they were made (a 10-Q is the quarterly report and a 10-K the annual report; an 8-K reports a major event).

    Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

    Money flow
    FilerPositionOf fund
    BlackRock$2.0B0.0%
    Vanguard Capital Management$1.5B0.0%
    Vanguard Portfolio Management$1.3B0.1%
    State Street$1.2B0.0%
    T. Rowe Price Associates$1.2B0.1%
    JPMorgan Chase$748.6M0.0%
    Geode Capital Management$662.6M0.0%
    Morgan Stanley$521.5M0.0%
    EdgePoint Investment Group$476.4M3.6%
    Bank of America$410.2M0.0%

    91 of the 815 filers we track · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

    Insiders, last 24 months: 226 Form 4 filings; open-market trades net −$53.7M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 7 sales — the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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    How is it priced, against its own past and its sector?

    Tue 27 Oct close

    Priced at 23.8× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close) — higher than in all 5 of its last 5 fiscal years (middle 19.3×); the typical Healthcare company on the NYSE is at 25.8×.

    MeasureNowIts usualSector
    P/E23.8×above usual19.3×25.8×
    P/S2.26×above usual1.75×—
    EV/EBITDA14.0×above usual11.7×—
    P/B3.5×above usual2.7×—
    • "Its usual" is the middle of its own last 5 fiscal years.

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    P/S: the company's total market value divided by one year of revenue. Used when there is no profit to measure.

    EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.

    P/B: the share price divided by the book value per share — what the company owns minus what it owes, as its accounts record it. When book value is tiny, P/B swings wildly and says little.

    What do the analysts who cover it publish?

    12 firms rated it in the last 18 months · 27 Oct

    The analysts' average 12-month price target is $256 (from $245 to $262) — 6% above the Tue 27 Oct close price. That is their published opinion, not Orin's.

    Average price target

    $256

    $245 – $262 · +6% against the last close

    Their ratings
    • 4 buy or overweight
    • 8 hold
    • 0 underweight or sell

    Price target: the share price an analyst publishes for about 12 months ahead. It is the opinion of the firm that wrote it; the average is across the firms that cover the company.

    Overweight / underweight: analysts' rating words: overweight means the firm expects the stock to do better than the others it covers, underweight worse. Their words, not Orin's.

    How is it priced next to the companies it is compared to?

    2 of 2 with a profit

    Priced at 23.8× its last 12 months of profit. Only 2 of the 2 companies it is compared to made a profit (LH 27.2×, RVTY 77.1×), so there is no typical P/E.

    CompanyMarket valueP/EEV/EBITDAGross marginNet marginROE
    DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$27B23.8×14.0×33.1%9.5%15%
    LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.$27B27.2×15.6×27.8%7.0%12%
    RVTYRevvity, Inc.$18B77.1×26.6×52.1%8.2%3%
    • The list of companies is the data vendor's choice, so it can include a company a person would not have picked.

    Market value: the share price times the number of shares — what the whole company is priced at.

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.

    Gross margin: the share of each $1 of sales left after the direct cost of making what was sold.

    Net margin: the share of each $1 of sales kept as profit after every cost. Below zero, the company lost money.

    ROE: return on equity: one year of profit as a share of the shareholders' money in the business (its book value).

    Is it priced high or low compared with its own past?

    Tue 27 Oct

    Priced at 23.8× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close). It has no full fiscal year on file since its history starts, so there is nothing of its own to compare with.

    • Now23.8×

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    Fiscal year (FY): the company's own 12-month accounting year, which need not match the calendar year.

    How has its sector been priced?

    Now–Now · Tue 27 Oct

    Healthcare companies on the NYSE were priced at a typical 25.8× their yearly profit (Tue 27 Oct close).

    • Now25.8×
    • Each year is the middle of that calendar year's daily sector P/E; "Now" is the Tue 27 Oct close figure, the same one in the table above.

    Sector P/E: the middle P/E of the companies in the same sector on the same stock exchange, as the data vendor works it out each day.

    What does a cash-flow model say a share is worth?

    computed 27 Oct at $241.84

    A standard cash-flow model puts it at $189 a share — 22% below the $241.84 price it was computed against (27 Oct).

    ModelValue a shareAgainst the price then
    Standard$18922% below $241.84
    Levered$19420% below $241.84

    Discounted cash flow: a model's estimate of what the company is worth today, from the cash it is forecast to make in future years. Small changes in the forecast move it a lot, and it says little about a company that loses money.

    Standard / levered: two versions of the cash-flow model: the standard one counts the cash before the company pays its lenders, the levered one after.