Orin
GEHCNasdaq·Medical - Healthcare Information Services

GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. GEHC

Market cap $29.8BP/E 20.0× trailingGross margin 42.9%Reports Wed 4 Nov, before the open
$66.09
−0.18 (−0.27%)Wed close 16:00 ET
52-wk $58.75 – $89.77
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Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 2 Sep · take v8. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

GEHC trades at 20.2x P/E and 11.5x EV/EBITDA, roughly 35% below peer medians, despite revenue accelerating to 5.8% YoY growth in Q2 2026 and EPS of $1.24 beating estimates by 8.7%. A cluster buy by six insiders including CEO Arduini, CFO Saccaro, and director Larry Culp totaling ~$5.7M at $60–62 in April–May 2026 signals strong internal conviction at levels near current prices, while active product launches across ultrasound and photon-counting CT support the growth narrative.

The main concerns are gross margin compression from 41.7% in FY2024 to 40.0% in FY2025, declining FCF from $1.80B in 2022 to $1.51B in 2025, and a technically weak tape with the stock below its 200-day MA of $72.78 and a bearish MACD histogram, but the valuation discount and insider alignment outweigh these headwinds at current levels.

What could go wrong

  • Margin compression. Gross margin declined from 41.7% in FY2024 to 40.0% in FY2025; if cost pressures persist, operating leverage could stall.
  • FCF deterioration. Free cash flow fell from $1.80B in FY2022 to $1.51B in FY2025 while total debt rose to $10.0B, tightening financial flexibility.
  • Smart money outflows. Smart money score dropped from 0.0797 as of 2025-12-31 to 0.0233 as of 2026-06-30, suggesting institutional positioning has weakened.
  • Technical weakness. Stock at $70.42 sits below its 200-day MA of $72.78 with a negative MACD histogram of -0.64, indicating bearish momentum.

What would change my mind

Margin recovery. Gross margin reclaims 41%+ in upcoming quarterly resultsbullish
FCF inflection. Quarterly free cash flow shows sequential improvement toward prior-year levelsbullish
Smart money reversal. 13F data for Q3 2026 (available ~November) shows institutional score rebounding above 0.05bullish
Revenue deceleration. Quarterly revenue growth falls below 3% YoY for two consecutive quartersbearish

Where this comes from: peer_relative · peer_relative · quarterly_results Q2 2026 · earnings_surprises 2026-07-29. Orin's read on GEHC; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$1.9B0.0% of fund
State Street$1.3B0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$1.3B0.1% of fund
Invesco$1.2B0.1% of fund
Harris Associates L P$981.3M1.3% of fund
Geode Capital Management$820.8M0.0% of fund

98 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 107 Form 4 filings, net $22.5M. Of the 50 on hand, 6 were open-market purchases and 0 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Healthcare
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E20.0×17.9×26.4×
EV/EBITDA11.4×11.3×
P/S1.56×1.80×
P/B2.9×3.6×

Its P/E sits 80th percentile of its own last 5 years (+0.88σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

7.6%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $1.5B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

18 firms · 2026-09-03
Consensus target

$79

$65$90 · +19% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 10 buy or overweight
  • 8 hold
  • 0 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 31.9× of 6 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
GEHCGE HealthCare Technologies Inc.$31B20.0×11.4×42.9%7.9%15%
AAgilent Technologies, Inc.$42B29.5×22.6×53.7%19.5%20%
CAHCardinal Health, Inc.$58B34.2×18.2×3.8%0.7%-60%
HUMHumana Inc.$49B38.2×18.3×13.7%0.9%7%
IQVIQVIA Holdings Inc.$45B33.4×16.7×26.2%8.1%22%
MTDMettler-Toledo International Inc.$27B30.5×22.7×59.3%21.9%-1200%
RMDResMed Inc.$33B22.0×15.2×61.2%26.9%24%

The median is of the 6 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 37.3% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY19 17.9×FY25 18.0×

What its sector has traded at

Healthcare
FY14 6.5×FY26 28.6×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$161$64.81 · +148%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$105$64.81 · +63%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $66.09
52-week range$59 – $90
Analyst targets$65 – $90
Standard DCF$161 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $64.81
Levered DCF$105 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $64.81
At own 5y-median P/E (18×)$59
At 5y P/E range (12–22×)$40 – $74
At sector P/E (26×)$87

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.