Orin
GENNasdaq·Software - Infrastructure

Gen Digital Inc. GEN

Market cap $15.7BP/E 15.1× trailingGross margin 78.0%Reports Thu 5 Nov, after the close
$26.25
+0.02 (+0.09%)live 09:40 ET
52-wk $17.78 – $31.65
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Orin's take
0.72conviction · high
Refreshed 25 Aug · take v7. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Gen Digital trades at 16.8x earnings and 10.9x EV/EBITDA as of the quarter ended 2026-04-03, roughly 39% and 32% below infrastructure-software peer medians, despite FY2026 revenue surging 27% to $5.0B with operating margin expanding to 43.1% and EPS climbing to $1.57 from $1.03. The MoneyLion acquisition opens a cross-sell channel into financial wellness, and management's FY2027 guidance of 9–11% revenue growth and 14–18% EPS growth supports continued re-rating potential.

Free cash flow of $1.52B against $8.26B in total debt provides ample capacity for deleveraging and shareholder returns, while smart money flows turned positive in Q2 2026 with fund count rising to 58.

What could go wrong

  • Margin dilution from Trust-Based Solutions. Trust-Based Solutions revenue grew 24% but carries lower margins (~30%) versus the high-margin Cyber Safety core, which could compress blended profitability as the segment becomes a larger revenue share.
  • Elevated leverage. Total debt of $8.26B against stockholders' equity of $2.61B as of FY2026 leaves a leveraged balance sheet, limiting flexibility if growth disappoints or integration costs rise.
  • Insider selling. Over the trailing 24 months, net insider value was negative $8.17M, with Vlcek Ondrej selling 147,462 shares in August 2026 at $28–$29 per share, signaling limited insider conviction at current levels.
  • MoneyLion integration uncertainty. The acquisition's cross-sell benefits remain unquantified per recent coverage, and integration execution risk could delay the expected revenue and customer-base monetization.

What would change my mind

FY2027 guidance achievement. Quarterly results show revenue growth sustaining above 10% and EPS growth above 14%, confirming management's FY2027 targetsbullish
Trust-Based Solutions margin trajectory. Trust-Based Solutions segment margins expand toward 35%+ or fail to improve from ~30%, shifting blended operating marginbullish
Debt reduction progress. Total debt declines below $8.0B on continued FCF deployment, or stalls/reverses due to integration costsbullish
Insider buying reversal. Insider transactions shift to net acquisitions in value terms, or selling accelerates meaningfully from current levelsbullish

Where this comes from: FMP annual fundamentals FY2026; derived_metrics FY2026 · peer_relative as of 2026-08-25 · FMP annual fundamentals FY2026; derived_metrics FY2026 · FMP annual fundamentals FY2026. Orin's read on GEN; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Fmr$1.2B0.1% of fund
Vanguard Capital Management$887.9M0.0% of fund
State Street$777.6M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$757.2M0.0% of fund
Ameriprise Financial$690.3M0.1% of fund
Geode Capital Management$391.8M0.0% of fund

76 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 75 Form 4 filings, net −$19.6M. Of the 50 on hand, 2 were open-market purchases and 10 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Technology
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E15.1×18.7×53.3×
EV/EBITDA10.1×13.0×
P/S3.09×3.75×
P/B5.9×

Its P/E sits 40th percentile of its own last 5 years (−0.36σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

-1.4%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $1.5B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

21 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$29

$27$30 · +9% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 10 buy or overweight
  • 10 hold
  • 1 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 29.8× of 4 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
GENGen Digital Inc.$16B15.1×10.1×78.0%20.7%42%
AKAMAkamai Technologies, Inc.$17B41.7×19.5×56.4%9.5%8%
CPAYCorpay, Inc.$26B23.7×13.7×73.3%22.7%30%
FFIVF5, Inc.$26B35.9×25.3×82.2%22.0%20%
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.$13B14.2×11.0×63.8%17.8%661%

The median is of the 4 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 49.4% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY15 18.4×FY26 11.9×

What its sector has traded at

Technology
FY14 9.0×FY26 48.0×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$201$24.89 · +708%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$138$24.89 · +453%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $26.25
52-week range$18 – $32
Analyst targets$27 – $30
Standard DCF$201 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $24.89
Levered DCF$138 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $24.89
At own 5y-median P/E (19×)$33
At 5y P/E range (8–25×)$14 – $44
At sector P/E (53×)$93

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.