Orin
IDXXNasdaq·Medical - Diagnostics & Research

IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.

Market cap $44.3BP/E 39.4× trailingGross margin 62.4%
$561.25
−8.96 (−1.57%)Tue 27 Oct close 16:00 ET
52-wk $500.61 – $769.98
Orin's take
6out of 10 — how sure Orin is of this read

Orin's own judgment of how firmly the evidence points one way — not the chance the price goes up.

Refreshed 17 Oct, the 9th take on IDXX. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

IDEXX Laboratories continues to deliver strong fundamentals — FY2025 revenue of $4.30B grew 10.4% with operating margin expanding to 31.6% and FCF of $1.05B, while Q2 2026 revenue of $1.22B grew 9.7% YoY with EPS of $4.19 beating the $3.94 consensus by 8.4%.

Technicals have improved with the stock at $560.36 above its 50-day MA of $535.25 and bullish MACD momentum (histogram +5.08), but it remains below the 200-day MA of $579.67 and trades at a premium on EV/EBITDA (27.8x vs peer median 19.7x) and PS (9.7x vs 4.4x). The hold persists pending Q3 2026 results on November 2 to confirm sustained re-acceleration against continued pressure on U.S. veterinary office visits.

What could go wrong

  • Valuation premium. EV/EBITDA of 27.8x trades at a 41.4% premium to the peer median of 19.7x, and PS of 9.7x is 118.7% above the peer median of 4.4x, leaving limited margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Veterinary visit headwinds. Management acknowledged continued pressure on U.S. veterinary office visits at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference, which could dampen CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue growth.
  • FX drag. Foreign exchange headwinds were cited alongside CAG growth and global gains as a factor weighing on reported results.
  • Insider selling. Over the trailing 24 months insiders net sold approximately 117,910 shares for $75.1M across 61 dispositions with no open-market acquisitions, a modest negative signal.

What would change my mind

Q3 2026 earnings (Nov 2). Revenue growth re-accelerates above Q2's 9.7% and EPS beats consensus by >5%bullish
200-day MA reclaim. Stock closes decisively above $579.67 on strong volume, breaking the longer-term downtrendbullish
Vet visit deterioration. Q3 2026 commentary indicates further weakening in U.S. companion animal visit volumes or CAG organic growth decelerates below high-single digitsbearish
Margin compression. Operating margin contracts from the FY2025 level of 31.6% due to integration costs from CoVetAI acquisition or pricing pressurebearish

Where this comes from: FY25 fundamentals · Q2 2026 results and earnings vs estimates · technicals, 16 Oct · peer comparison. Orin's read on IDXX; not advice.

How has the share price moved?

27 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2026

Down 13.3% over twelve months, from $647.40 on 27 Oct 2025 to $561.25 at the Tue 27 Oct 2026 close. Its highest close in that time was $766.68 on 25 Nov 2025; the last close is 26.8% below it.

Jan 2026AprJulOct
    • Green line: the closing price each trading day.
    • Grey line: the average closing price over the last 50 trading days.
    • Dashed amber line: the same over the last 200 trading days — a slower, smoother line.
    • Bars along the bottom: shares traded each day — green when it closed higher than the day before, rose when lower (the most, 1.7M, on 19 Dec 2025).
    • Flags: the company's filings, on the day they were made (a 10-Q is the quarterly report and a 10-K the annual report; an 8-K reports a major event).
    • Rose flags: large share sales by the company's own officers and directors, from the Form 4 each one files after trading.

    Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

    Money flow
    FilerPositionOf fund
    BlackRock$4.3B0.1%
    Vanguard Capital Management$2.7B0.1%
    Vanguard Portfolio Management$2.1B0.1%
    State Street$2.0B0.1%
    Invesco$1.9B0.2%
    Geode Capital Management$1.3B0.1%
    BAMCO$1.0B1.6%
    Morgan Stanley$713.9M0.0%
    Bank of New York Mellon$628.2M0.1%
    Northern Trust$483.3M0.1%

    112 of the 815 filers we track · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

    Insiders, last 24 months: 325 Form 4 filings; open-market trades net −$75.1M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 16 sales — the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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    How is it priced, against its own past and its sector?

    Tue 27 Oct close

    Priced at 39.4× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close) — higher than in 1 of its last 5 fiscal years (middle 51.4×); the typical Healthcare company on the NASDAQ is at 20.8×.

    MeasureNowIts usualSector
    P/E39.4×below usual51.4×20.8×
    P/S9.71×below usual12.6×—
    EV/EBITDA27.9×below usual36.5×—
    P/B27.9×below usual33.8×—
    • "Its usual" is the middle of its own last 5 fiscal years.

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    P/S: the company's total market value divided by one year of revenue. Used when there is no profit to measure.

    EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.

    P/B: the share price divided by the book value per share — what the company owns minus what it owes, as its accounts record it. When book value is tiny, P/B swings wildly and says little.

    What do the analysts who cover it publish?

    9 firms rated it in the last 18 months · 27 Oct

    The analysts' average 12-month price target is $692 (from $627 to $740) — 23% above the Tue 27 Oct close price. That is their published opinion, not Orin's.

    Average price target

    $692

    $627 – $740 · +23% against the last close

    Their ratings
    • 6 buy or overweight
    • 3 hold
    • 0 underweight or sell

    Price target: the share price an analyst publishes for about 12 months ahead. It is the opinion of the firm that wrote it; the average is across the firms that cover the company.

    Overweight / underweight: analysts' rating words: overweight means the firm expects the stock to do better than the others it covers, underweight worse. Their words, not Orin's.

    How is it priced next to the companies it is compared to?

    2 of 2 with a profit

    Priced at 39.4× its last 12 months of profit. Only 2 of the 2 companies it is compared to made a profit (MRK 113×, ZTS 13.9×), so there is no typical P/E.

    CompanyMarket valueP/EEV/EBITDAGross marginNet marginROE
    IDXXIDEXX Laboratories, Inc.$44B39.4×27.9×62.4%25.0%72%
    MRKMerck & Co., Inc.$350B113×28.5×75.4%4.8%7%
    ZTSZoetis Inc.$34B13.9×8.5×71.0%26.1%76%
    • The list of companies is the data vendor's choice, so it can include a company a person would not have picked.

    Market value: the share price times the number of shares — what the whole company is priced at.

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.

    Gross margin: the share of each $1 of sales left after the direct cost of making what was sold.

    Net margin: the share of each $1 of sales kept as profit after every cost. Below zero, the company lost money.

    ROE: return on equity: one year of profit as a share of the shareholders' money in the business (its book value).

    Is it priced high or low compared with its own past?

    Tue 27 Oct

    Priced at 39.4× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close). It has no full fiscal year on file since its history starts, so there is nothing of its own to compare with.

    • Now39.4×

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    Fiscal year (FY): the company's own 12-month accounting year, which need not match the calendar year.

    How has its sector been priced?

    Now–Now · Tue 27 Oct

    Healthcare companies on the NASDAQ were priced at a typical 20.8× their yearly profit (Tue 27 Oct close).

    • Now20.8×
    • Each year is the middle of that calendar year's daily sector P/E; "Now" is the Tue 27 Oct close figure, the same one in the table above.

    Sector P/E: the middle P/E of the companies in the same sector on the same stock exchange, as the data vendor works it out each day.

    What does a cash-flow model say a share is worth?

    computed 27 Oct at $563.01

    A standard cash-flow model puts it at $166 a share — 71% below the $563.01 price it was computed against (27 Oct).

    ModelValue a shareAgainst the price then
    Standard$16671% below $563.01
    Levered$14774% below $563.01

    Discounted cash flow: a model's estimate of what the company is worth today, from the cash it is forecast to make in future years. Small changes in the forecast move it a lot, and it says little about a company that loses money.

    Standard / levered: two versions of the cash-flow model: the standard one counts the cash before the company pays its lenders, the levered one after.