Orin
LNYSE·Insurance - Property & Casualty

Loews Corporation L

Market cap $21.6BP/E 12.9× trailingGross margin 47.0%Reports Mon 2 Nov, before the open
$105.04
−0.87 (−0.82%)Wed close 16:00 ET
52-wk $97.38 – $121.01
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Orin's take
0.58conviction · moderate
Refreshed 11 Aug · take v7. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Loews Corporation remains a fundamentally solid but fully-valued diversified conglomerate. Full-year 2025 EPS of $7.97 on $18.2B revenue with $2.7B free cash flow supports an attractive ~11% FCF yield at $113.15, and Q2 2026 net income of $444M ($2.16/share) grew 13.5% YoY as hotels and pipelines offset softening insurance underwriting.

However, the stock's 13.9x P/E trades at a 5.7% premium to the peer median of 13.1x, the MACD histogram has turned negative (-0.61) with RSI at 42, and smart money engagement remains negligible (score 0.0113). With insurance—the core business—softening and much of the diversification upside already reflected in the price, a hold is warranted until underwriting margins reaccelerate or the multiple compresses.

What could go wrong

  • Insurance underwriting softening. Q2 2026 results showed hotels and pipelines driving profit growth while insurance underwriting weakened, raising concern about the core P&C franchise's pricing power and loss ratios.
  • Insider net selling. Over 24 months, insiders net sold $49.9M in value despite accumulating 1.49M net shares, suggesting distribution at higher prices even as Tisch family members exercised warrants in August 2026.
  • Valuation premium to peers. At 13.9x P/E, L trades at a 5.7% premium to the peer median of 13.1x, limiting upside if growth decelerates from the 2025 EPS of $7.97.
  • Negligible institutional conviction. Smart money score of 0.0113 across only 48 funds indicates limited institutional conviction, constraining potential re-rating catalysts.

What would change my mind

Insurance margin reacceleration. CNA combined ratio improves below 95% for two consecutive quarters, signaling underwriting discipline returningbullish
Multiple compression. P/E falls below 12x on stable or growing EPS, creating a margin-of-safety entry pointbullish
Sustained insurance deterioration. CNA reports combined ratio above 100% for two consecutive quarters, indicating underwriting lossesbearish
Non-insurance segment slowdown. Hotels, pipelines, or packaging segment EBITDA declines YoY for two consecutive quarters, removing the diversification offsetbearish

Where this comes from: FMP annual fundamentals FY2025 · PRNewsWire Q2 2026 earnings release · Proactive Investors article 2026-08-03 · peer_relative composite. Orin's read on L; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$1.2B0.0% of fund
Jpmorgan Chase &$926.5M0.1% of fund
State Street$900.8M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$800.2M0.0% of fund
Geode Capital Management$600.9M0.0% of fund
Norges Bank$510.5M0.1% of fund

78 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 188 Form 4 filings, net −$49.9M. Of the 50 on hand, 1 was an open-market purchase and 11 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Financial Services
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E12.9×13.2×21.6×
EV/EBITDA8.7×9.3×
P/S1.16×1.08×
P/B1.1×1.0×

Its P/E sits 40th percentile of its own last 5 years (0.00σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

-5.0%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $2.7B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 11.7× of 5 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
LLoews Corporation$22B12.9×8.7×47.0%10.4%10%
CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc.$27B13.9×9.8×72.4%18.5%8%
CINFCincinnati Financial Corporation$25B7.6×5.5×52.3%23.8%21%
KEYKeyCorp$22B11.7×18.3×64.5%19.4%10%
RFRegions Financial Corporation$23B11.0×7.2×76.8%23.3%12%
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation$25B13.8×10.3×44.8%10.7%20%

The median is of the 5 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 10.0% above it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 26.6×FY25 13.2×

What its sector has traded at

Financial Services
FY14 29.6×FY26 23.9×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$137$108.43 · +26%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$456$108.43 · +320%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $105.04
52-week range$97 – $121
Standard DCF$137 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $108.43
Levered DCF$456 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $108.43
At own 5y-median P/E (13×)$108
At 5y P/E range (10–17×)$78 – $141
At sector P/E (22×)$176

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.