Orin
LHNYSE·Medical - Diagnostics & Research

Labcorp Holdings Inc. LH

Market cap $24.9BP/E 25.0× trailingGross margin 27.8%Reports Tue 27 Oct, before the open
$303.98
−7.56 (−2.43%)Wed close 16:00 ET
52-wk $244.52 – $341.80
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Orin's take
0.68conviction · moderate
Refreshed 21 Aug · take v7. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Labcorp's fundamental recovery is genuine — FY2025 revenue grew 7.25% to $13.95B with operating margin expanding from 8.35% to 10.87% and EPS up 18.33% to $10.46, while the stock trades at a 14.6% P/E discount and 17.7% EV/EBITDA discount to peer medians. However, with RSI at 72.68, the stock at $330.44 trading 14% above its 50-day MA of $289.67, and the CEO and multiple executives selling shares in August 2026 at $306–$320, the technical setup is overbought and insider behavior is a caution flag.

The September 10 Investor Day could re-rate the stock, but entering at a 52-week high with bearish MACD histogram crossover and a smart money score that flipped to -0.0175 as of Q2 2026 argues for patience.

What could go wrong

  • Overbought technicals. RSI at 72.68 and stock trading 22% above the 200-day MA of $271.08 as of 2026-08-19; a momentum unwind could deliver a sharp pullback.
  • Insider selling acceleration. CEO Schechter sold 4,669 shares at $320.37 on Aug 11, with additional sales by the CMO, CAO, and EVP Diagnostics in August 2026; 24-month net insider value is -$18M.
  • Smart money deterioration. Smart money score declined from +0.0875 in Q1 2026 to -0.0175 in Q2 2026, suggesting institutional positioning has turned slightly cautious.
  • Leverage and margin compression risk. Total debt of $7.2B against equity of $8.6B at FY2025, with gross margin declining from 27.86% in 2024 to 26.75% in 2025; cost pressure could stall operating margin recovery.

What would change my mind

Investor Day catalyst. Labcorp's September 10, 2026 Investor Day delivers raised long-term margin targets or a meaningful capital return announcementbullish
Technical pullback to support. Stock retraces toward the 50-day MA of $289.67 with RSI normalizing below 65bullish
Q3 2026 margin miss. Q3 2026 results show operating margin stalling below 10.87% or revenue growth decelerating below 7%bearish
Continued insider selling cluster. Additional senior executives file Form 4 sales in September 2026 ahead of or following Investor Daybearish

Where this comes from: FMP annual fundamentals FY2025 + derived_metrics · Technicals as of 2026-08-19 · peer_relative composite · Insider transactions + summary. Orin's read on LH; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$1.5B0.0% of fund
State Street$1.1B0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$1.0B0.0% of fund
Geode Capital Management$610.4M0.0% of fund
Select Equity Group, L.P$554.9M2.7% of fund
Fmr$533.4M0.0% of fund

87 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 261 Form 4 filings, net −$18.0M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 11 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Healthcare
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E25.0×23.8×26.4×
EV/EBITDA14.7×13.7×
P/S1.74×1.55×
P/B2.9×2.4×

Its P/E sits 60th percentile of its own last 5 years (+0.04σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

8.2%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $1.2B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

35 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$341

$300$380 · +12% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 26 buy or overweight
  • 9 hold
  • 0 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 29.7× of 8 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.$25B25.0×14.7×27.8%7.0%12%
BIIBBiogen Inc.$34B40.1×24.4×67.7%8.4%5%
DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$26B24.4×15.7×33.1%9.2%14%
DXCMDexCom, Inc.$33B33.9×21.4×62.5%20.1%36%
INCYIncyte Corporation$25B15.3×10.4×92.6%27.7%30%
STESTERIS plc$20B25.6×12.2×44.4%13.3%11%
WATWaters Corporation$41B104.6×51.4×50.8%3.6%2%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.$26B47.8×32.0×36.8%17.0%19%
ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.$18B22.0×12.6×69.9%9.5%6%

The median is of the 8 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 16.0% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 15.4×FY25 23.8×

What its sector has traded at

Healthcare
FY14 6.5×FY26 28.6×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$379$271.19 · +40%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$407$271.19 · +50%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $303.98
52-week range$245 – $342
Analyst targets$300 – $380
Standard DCF$379 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $271.19
Levered DCF$407 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $271.19
At own 5y-median P/E (24×)$290
At 5y P/E range (11–47×)$134 – $576
At sector P/E (26×)$322

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.