News Corporation NWSA
News Corporation's FY2026 results (as of the quarter ended 2026-06-30) show solid operational progress — revenue grew 6.8% to $9.03B, operating income rose to $1.029B with an 11.4% operating margin, and free cash flow improved to $811M — but net income collapsed 51.4% to $573M (EPS $1.03 vs. $2.07 in FY2025), leaving the stock at a 34.1x P/E that looks rich against depressed earnings. The shares have rallied to $30.92, trading above both the 50-day ($27.59) and 200-day ($26.03) moving averages with an RSI of 69.7 signaling overbought conditions, while the P/S of 2.13x sits 97% above the peer median of 1.08x.
Smart money is only marginally positive (score 0.0059 as of Q2 2026) and insider activity over 24 months shows net share accumulation but net dollar selling, offering no strong conviction signal. Hold pending evidence that net income can recover toward FY2025's $1.18B level or that the stock pulls back to a more compelling entry.
What could go wrong
- Earnings quality deterioration. Net income fell 51.4% YoY to $573M in FY2026 despite revenue growth of 6.8%, suggesting margin pressure or one-time charges that could persist and keep the P/E elevated at 34.1x.
- Overbought technicals. RSI at 69.7 as of 2026-08-25 with the stock at $30.92, well above the 50-day MA of $27.59 and 200-day MA of $26.03, increases near-term pullback risk after a extended run.
- Rich revenue-based valuation. P/S of 2.13x is 97% above the peer median of 1.08x, meaning the market is pricing in significant growth premia that may not be sustained if Digital Real Estate or Dow Jones momentum slows.
- Housing market sensitivity. Realtor.com reports show a K-shaped housing market with price-sensitive buyers retreating, which could pressure the Digital Real Estate Services segment that fueled FY2026 growth.
What would change my mind
Where this comes from: FMP FY2026 fundamentals; derived_metrics revenue_growth_yoy 0.0681 · FMP FY2026 vs FY2025 fundamentals; derived_metrics net_income_growth_yoy -0.5144, eps_growth_yoy -0.5024 · FMP FY2026 fundamentals; derived_metrics operating_margin 0.114 · FMP FY2026 fundamentals free_cash_flow 811000000.0. Orin's read on NWSA; not advice.
Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings
50-day average 200-day average · volume below
On file
All NWSA filingsLargest holders · 13F Q2 2026
Money flow| Filer | Position | Of fund |
|---|---|---|
| State Street | $751.5M | 0.0% of fund |
| Vanguard Capital Management | $638.5M | 0.0% of fund |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management | $438.9M | 0.0% of fund |
| 59 North Capital Management | $328.6M | 7.3% of fund |
| Price T Rowe Associates /Md/ | $271.2M | 0.0% of fund |
| Geode Capital Management | $265.6M | 0.0% of fund |
77 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows
Insiders, last 24 months: 44 Form 4 filings, net −$1.2M. Of the 44 on hand, none was an open-market trade— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.
Ask Orin about NWSA
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Start 3 free days →Where it trades
| Metric | Now | Own median | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 30.6× | 46.1× | 26.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.8× | 12.5× | — |
| P/S | 1.91× | 1.63× | — |
| P/B | 2.1× | 1.9× | — |
Its P/E sits 40th percentile of its own last 5 years (−0.46σ from its own mean).
7.6%
free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.8B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.
What Wall Street published
$32
$29 – $35 · +14% against today's price
- 22 buy or overweight
- 5 hold
- 1 underweight or sell
The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.
Against the companies it is compared to
| Company | Market cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA | Gross | Net | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWSANews Corporation | $16B | 30.6× | 11.8× | 56.9% | 6.3% | 7% |
| OMCOmnicom Group Inc. | $20B | 39.9× | 16.4× | 17.5% | 1.7% | 4% |
| PSKYParamount Skydance Corporation Class B Common Stock | $11B | — | — | 28.8% | -2.1% | -5% |
| TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc. | $14B | 61.3× | 11.3× | 54.1% | 4.3% | 6% |
The median is of the 2 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 39.5% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.
What it has traded at
What its sector has traded at
Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.
Discounted cash flow
| Model | Fair value | Against | Computed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard DCF | $35 | $27.32 · +29% | 2026-06-10 |
| Levered DCF | $27 | $27.32 · −1% | 2026-06-10 |
The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.
Every estimate on one scale
The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.