Otis Worldwide Corporation
Orin's own judgment of how firmly the evidence points one way — not the chance the price goes up.
Otis remains a buy at $71.04 as accelerating 2026 quarterly revenue growth (Q2 +7.3% YoY, Q1 +6.4% YoY) and a recovering Q2 EPS of $1.12 versus $0.99 in the prior-year quarter confirm the FY2025 net-income decline of -15.9% is in the rearview.
The stock trades at 18.2x trailing P/E, a 36% discount to the peer median of 28.2x, supported by stable FCF of $1.44B and an expanding gross margin of 30.3% in FY2025. The October 28 Q3 2026 earnings call is the next catalyst to confirm whether the growth reacceleration and margin recovery sustain.
What could go wrong
- Legal overhang. Levi & Korsinsky announced a shareholder investigation into possible fiduciary-duty breaches by certain officers and directors on October 8, 2026; escalation could create headline risk or settlement exposure.
- Leveraged balance sheet. Total debt of $8.75B against negative stockholders' equity of -$5.39B as of FY2025 limits financial flexibility and amplifies sensitivity to rising rates.
- China and margin pressure. Recent coverage cites margin pressure from costs and China demand softness; if service margins fail to expand, the FY2025 net-margin compression to 9.6% from 11.5% could persist.
- Persistent insider selling. Over the trailing 24 months, insiders recorded zero open-market acquisitions and net dispositions of ~190K shares worth ~$17.2M, with no cluster buying signal.
What would change my mind
Where this comes from: Q2 2026 results · Q1 2026 results · FY25 fundamentals · peer comparison. Orin's read on OTIS; not advice.
How has the share price moved?
Down 19.4% over twelve months, from $92.05 on 27 Oct 2025 to $74.19 at the Tue 27 Oct 2026 close. Its highest close in that time was $93.62 on 2 Mar 2026; the last close is 20.8% below it.
- Green line: the closing price each trading day.
- Grey line: the average closing price over the last 50 trading days.
- Dashed amber line: the same over the last 200 trading days — a slower, smoother line.
- Bars along the bottom: shares traded each day — green when it closed higher than the day before, rose when lower (the most, 12.9M, on 18 Sep 2026).
- Flags: the company's filings, on the day they were made (a 10-Q is the quarterly report and a 10-K the annual report; an 8-K reports a major event).
On file
All OTIS filingsLargest holders · 13F Q2 2026
Money flow| Filer | Position | Of fund |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock | $2.3B | 0.0% |
| Vanguard Capital Management | $1.8B | 0.0% |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management | $1.4B | 0.1% |
| State Street | $1.2B | 0.0% |
| Geode Capital Management | $906.4M | 0.0% |
| Franklin Resources | $843.7M | 0.2% |
| Morgan Stanley | $785.1M | 0.0% |
| FMR | $723.8M | 0.0% |
| Norges Bank | $615.9M | 0.1% |
| T. Rowe Price Associates | $437.1M | 0.0% |
98 of the 815 filers we track · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows
Insiders, last 24 months: 205 Form 4 filings; open-market trades net −$17.2M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 5 sales — the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.
Ask Orin about OTIS
Orin answers questions about OTIS from its filings, transcripts and numbers — with the source behind every claim. Your own desk starts with 3 free days, card required.
Start 3 free days →How is it priced, against its own past and its sector?
Priced at 19.0× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close) — lower than in all 5 of its last 5 fiscal years (middle 26.2×); the typical Industrials company on the NYSE is at 33.7×.
| Measure | Now | Its usual | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.0×below usual | 26.2× | 33.7× |
| P/S | 1.89×below usual | 2.59× | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.7×below usual | 18.2× | — |
| P/B | below zero | — | — |
- P/B: below zero — it owes more than it owns on its books.
- "Its usual" is the middle of its own last 5 fiscal years.
P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.
P/S: the company's total market value divided by one year of revenue. Used when there is no profit to measure.
EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.
P/B: the share price divided by the book value per share — what the company owns minus what it owes, as its accounts record it. When book value is tiny, P/B swings wildly and says little.
What do the analysts who cover it publish?
The analysts' average 12-month price target is $85.40 (from $75 to $95) — 15% above the Tue 27 Oct close price. That is their published opinion, not Orin's.
$85.40
$75 – $95 · +15% against the last close
- 4 buy or overweight
- 3 hold
- 1 underweight or sell
Price target: the share price an analyst publishes for about 12 months ahead. It is the opinion of the firm that wrote it; the average is across the firms that cover the company.
Overweight / underweight: analysts' rating words: overweight means the firm expects the stock to do better than the others it covers, underweight worse. Their words, not Orin's.
How is it priced next to the companies it is compared to?
Priced at 19.0× its last 12 months of profit; the middle P/E of the 10 companies it is compared to that made a profit is 25.8×.
| Company | Market value | P/E | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTISOtis Worldwide Corporation | $28B | 19.0× | 14.7× | 30.2% | 10.2% | n/m |
| AMEAMETEK, Inc. | $56B | 35.8× | 24.0× | 36.6% | 20.0% | 15% |
| DALDelta Air Lines, Inc. | $54B | 16.2× | 9.3× | 29.9% | 4.6% | 15% |
| DOVDover Corporation | $28B | 23.9× | 15.2× | 39.7% | 13.6% | 15% |
| EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. | $29B | 20.7× | 12.9× | 19.7% | 7.7% | 38% |
| FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc. | $45B | 27.8× | 19.2× | 25.6% | 13.0% | 55% |
| IRIngersoll Rand Inc. | $29B | 30.8× | 16.5× | 37.9% | 12.1% | 9% |
| ROKRockwell Automation, Inc. | $42B | 30.4× | 21.2× | 50.0% | 15.7% | 39% |
| ROPRoper Technologies, Inc. | $43B | 17.2× | 11.9× | 69.7% | 30.7% | 14% |
| WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | $47B | 34.6× | 21.4× | 35.0% | 11.2% | 12% |
| XYLXylem Inc. | $22B | 20.5× | 16.9× | 39.3% | 15.7% | 10% |
- OTIS: return on equity is not meaningful (n/m) — book value is below zero.
- The list of companies is the data vendor's choice, so it can include a company a person would not have picked.
Market value: the share price times the number of shares — what the whole company is priced at.
P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.
EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.
Gross margin: the share of each $1 of sales left after the direct cost of making what was sold.
Net margin: the share of each $1 of sales kept as profit after every cost. Below zero, the company lost money.
ROE: return on equity: one year of profit as a share of the shareholders' money in the business (its book value).
Is it priced high or low compared with its own past?
Priced at 19.0× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close). It has no full fiscal year on file since its history starts, so there is nothing of its own to compare with.
- Now19.0×
P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.
Fiscal year (FY): the company's own 12-month accounting year, which need not match the calendar year.
How has its sector been priced?
Industrials companies on the NYSE were priced at a typical 33.7× their yearly profit (Tue 27 Oct close).
- Now33.7×
- Each year is the middle of that calendar year's daily sector P/E; "Now" is the Tue 27 Oct close figure, the same one in the table above.
Sector P/E: the middle P/E of the companies in the same sector on the same stock exchange, as the data vendor works it out each day.
What does a cash-flow model say a share is worth?
A standard cash-flow model puts it at $78 a share — 5% above the $74.21 price it was computed against (27 Oct).
| Model | Value a share | Against the price then |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | $78 | 5% above $74.21 |
| Levered | $73 | 1% below $74.21 |
Discounted cash flow: a model's estimate of what the company is worth today, from the cash it is forecast to make in future years. Small changes in the forecast move it a lot, and it says little about a company that loses money.
Standard / levered: two versions of the cash-flow model: the standard one counts the cash before the company pays its lenders, the levered one after.