Orin
PNRNYSE·Industrial - Machinery

Pentair plc PNR

Market cap $8.6BP/E 13.2× trailingGross margin 41.3%Reports Tue 20 Oct, before the open
$53.56
+0.54 (+1.01%)live 11:20 ET
52-wk $52.64 – $113.95
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Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 17 Aug · take v7. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Pentair screens as deeply cheap at 16.5x P/E versus a peer median of 28.0x, with FY2025 fundamentals that remain genuinely strong — $746M free cash flow, 40.5% gross margins, EPS of $3.96, and total debt reduced to $1.77B from $2.4B in 2022. However, multiple securities fraud class actions filed in August 2026 allege material misstatements about the company's ability to withstand channel destocking, the CFO role is filled on an interim basis, and the stock at $64.10 sits 28% below its 200-day moving average of $88.85 — a combination of legal overhang and operational uncertainty that offsets the compelling valuation.

Until there is clarity on whether destocking is transitory and whether the fraud allegations have merit, the risk/reward is too binary to commit capital.

What could go wrong

  • Securities fraud litigation. Multiple class action lawsuits filed August 2026 covering a class period of March 11, 2025 through July 14, 2026, alleging material misstatements concerning the company's ability to withstand significant destocking. Lead plaintiff deadline October 2, 2026.
  • Destocking severity and duration. The prior verdict noted a severe 17% core sales decline driven by pool channel destocking in Q2 2026; if destocking is structural rather than transitory, the earnings power supporting the cheap multiple erodes.
  • Leadership instability. The CFO role is held on an interim basis by Robert Fishman as of July 14, 2026, adding execution risk during a period of operational stress and a pending acquisition integration.
  • Technical breakdown. Stock at $64.10 trades well below both the 50-day ($70.30) and 200-day ($88.85) moving averages with RSI at 39.3, indicating persistent selling pressure that could deepen on negative legal developments.

What would change my mind

Destocking reversal confirmed. Q3 2026 results show core sales stabilizing or recovering, indicating destocking was transitory rather than structuralbullish
Fraud allegations dismissed or narrowed. Class action complaints are dismissed, settled for immaterial amounts, or lead plaintiff deadline passes without escalationbullish
Further earnings deterioration. Q3 2026 results show continued sharp revenue decline or margin compression beyond destocking, suggesting structural demand erosionbearish
Insider selling acceleration. Additional insiders sell shares or the interim CFO departs, signaling lack of confidence in near-term recoverybearish

Where this comes from: peer_relative composite as of 2026-08-17 · FMP fundamentals FY2025 (period ended 2025-12-31) · FMP fundamentals FY2022 vs FY2025 · news articles published 2026-08-14 to 2026-08-16. Orin's read on PNR; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$810.1M0.0% of fund
State Street$701.7M0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$575.2M0.0% of fund
Fmr$518.0M0.0% of fund
Price T Rowe Associates /Md/$491.3M0.0% of fund
Invesco$384.5M0.0% of fund

83 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 165 Form 4 filings, net −$10.4M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 1 a sale— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Industrials
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E13.2×21.9×44.5×
EV/EBITDA10.9×18.1×—
P/S2.11×3.22×—
P/B2.3×4.4×—

Its P/E sits below all 5 of the last 5 years (−2.03σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

-0.1%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.7B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

43 firms · 2026-09-24
Consensus target

$81

$64 – $94 · +51% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 15 buy or overweight
  • 22 hold
  • 6 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 26.5× of 9 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
PNRPentair plc$8B13.2×10.9×41.3%16.2%17%
ACMAecom$8B26.5×—5.7%1.9%13%
CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.$17B27.5×19.1×10.1%3.7%36%
DCIDonaldson Company, Inc.$10B22.1×17.9×34.6%11.7%28%
GGGGraco Inc.$12B23.9×16.4×52.6%23.5%20%
IEXIDEX Corporation$17B32.8×20.0×44.7%14.5%13%
ITTITT Inc.$19B41.8×25.0×34.6%8.9%10%
LIILennox International Inc.$13B16.6×12.9×33.1%14.6%65%
NDSNNordson Corporation$18B32.6×20.8×55.3%18.6%18%
SNASnap-on Incorporated$19B18.5×12.4×51.2%20.4%17%

The median is of the 9 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 50.1% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 38.1×FY25 26.1×

What its sector has traded at

Industrials
FY14 173.5×FY26 32.6×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Every estimate on one scale

price $53.56
52-week range$53 – $114
Analyst targets$64 – $94
At own 5y-median P/E (22×)$88
At 5y P/E range (15–27×)$62 – $108
At sector P/E (45×)$179

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.