Orin
ROPNasdaq·Industrial - Machinery

Roper Technologies, Inc.

Market cap $43.0BP/E 17.2× trailingGross margin 69.7%Reports Tue 26 Jan 2027, before the open
$434.48
−7.17 (−1.62%)Tue 27 Oct close 16:00 ET
52-wk $305.96 – $476.53
Orin's take
6out of 10 — how sure Orin is of this read

Orin's own judgment of how firmly the evidence points one way — not the chance the price goes up.

Refreshed 10 Oct, the 9th take on ROP — written before the latest event Orin flagged. An update has been queued since 22 Oct and hasn't run yet.

Roper Technologies trades at a deep discount to peers on P/E (15.1x vs 33.3x median) and EV/EBITDA (11.1x vs 19.4x median), but the valuation is partly inflated by a one-time Q2 2026 net income jump to $1.17B against Q1 2026's $509M, and underlying trends are mixed.

Revenue growth is decelerating — Q2 2026 YoY revenue growth of 8.5% is down from 14.3% in Q3 2025 — FY2025 EPS declined 1.1% to $14.20, and total debt rose to $9.30B from $7.67B. Technicals are improving (RSI recovered to 44.3, MACD histogram turned positive at +1.32 as of 9 Oct) but the stock at $364.09 remains below both its 50-day ($388.50) and 200-day ($367.01) moving averages, so the downtrend is not yet broken. With Q3 2026 results scheduled for October 22, a hold is warranted until the tape confirms a reversal or fundamentals reaccelerate.

What could go wrong

  • Earnings quality. Q2 2026 net income of $1.17B and EPS of $11.48 dwarf Q1 2026's $509M and $4.87, suggesting a one-time gain that may not repeat and distorts trailing multiples.
  • Decelerating growth. Quarterly revenue YoY growth has slowed from 14.3% in Q3 2025 to 8.5% in Q2 2026, and FY2025 EPS declined 1.1% year-over-year.
  • Rising leverage. Total debt increased to $9.30B in FY2025 from $7.67B in FY2024, reducing financial flexibility.
  • Technical overhead. Stock at $364.09 sits below both the 50-day MA ($388.50) and 200-day MA ($367.01), with prior 52-week high of $521.28 indicating significant downside already occurred.

What would change my mind

Q3 2026 earnings (Oct 22). Revenue growth reaccelerates above 10% YoY and organic EPS beats estimates by more than 3%bullish
200-day MA reclaim. Stock closes above $367 on rising volume with RSI above 50bullish
Debt trajectory. Total debt fails to decline or interest coverage deteriorates in the Q3 2026 reportbearish
Revenue growth below 7%. Q3 2026 YoY revenue growth falls below 7%, confirming a sharper decelerationbearish

Where this comes from: peer comparison · quarterly results · FY25 fundamentals · FY24 and FY25 fundamentals. Orin's read on ROP; not advice.

How has the share price moved?

27 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2026

Down 6.3% over twelve months, from $463.73 on 27 Oct 2025 to $434.48 at the Tue 27 Oct 2026 close. Its highest close in that time was $463.73 on 27 Oct 2025; the last close is 6.3% below it.

Jan 2026AprJulOct
    • Green line: the closing price each trading day.
    • Grey line: the average closing price over the last 50 trading days.
    • Dashed amber line: the same over the last 200 trading days — a slower, smoother line.
    • Bars along the bottom: shares traded each day — green when it closed higher than the day before, rose when lower (the most, 5.1M, on 27 Jan 2026).
    • Flags: the company's filings, on the day they were made (a 10-Q is the quarterly report and a 10-K the annual report; an 8-K reports a major event).
    • Rose flags: large share sales by the company's own officers and directors, from the Form 4 each one files after trading.

    Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

    Money flow
    FilerPositionOf fund
    BlackRock$3.3B0.0%
    Windacre Partnership$2.9B28.9%
    Vanguard Capital Management$2.2B0.0%
    Vanguard Portfolio Management$1.9B0.1%
    State Street$1.7B0.1%
    Invesco$1.4B0.1%
    Geode Capital Management$1.1B0.1%
    Wellington Management Group$890.3M0.2%
    Norges Bank$701.9M0.1%
    Harris Associates$668.1M0.9%

    93 of the 815 filers we track · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

    Insiders, last 24 months: 76 Form 4 filings; open-market trades net −$20.2M. Of the 50 on hand, 4 were open-market purchases and 9 sales — the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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    How is it priced, against its own past and its sector?

    Tue 27 Oct close

    Priced at 17.2× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close) — lower than in all 5 of its last 5 fiscal years (middle 38.5×); the typical Industrials company on the NASDAQ is at 18.4×.

    MeasureNowIts usualSector
    P/E17.2×below usual38.5×18.4×
    P/S5.09×below usual8.52×—
    EV/EBITDA11.9×below usual24.1×—
    P/B2.2×below usual3.0×—
    • "Its usual" is the middle of its own last 5 fiscal years.

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    P/S: the company's total market value divided by one year of revenue. Used when there is no profit to measure.

    EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.

    P/B: the share price divided by the book value per share — what the company owns minus what it owes, as its accounts record it. When book value is tiny, P/B swings wildly and says little.

    What do the analysts who cover it publish?

    15 firms rated it in the last 18 months · 27 Oct

    The analysts' average 12-month price target is $470 (from $355 to $540) — 8% above the Tue 27 Oct close price. That is their published opinion, not Orin's.

    Average price target

    $470

    $355 – $540 · +8% against the last close

    Their ratings
    • 8 buy or overweight
    • 5 hold
    • 2 underweight or sell

    Price target: the share price an analyst publishes for about 12 months ahead. It is the opinion of the firm that wrote it; the average is across the firms that cover the company.

    Overweight / underweight: analysts' rating words: overweight means the firm expects the stock to do better than the others it covers, underweight worse. Their words, not Orin's.

    How is it priced next to the companies it is compared to?

    middle P/E 32.7× · 7 of 7 with a profit

    Priced at 17.2× its last 12 months of profit; the middle P/E of the 7 companies it is compared to that made a profit is 32.7×.

    CompanyMarket valueP/EEV/EBITDAGross marginNet marginROE
    ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.$43B17.2×11.9×69.7%30.7%14%
    AMEAMETEK, Inc.$56B35.8×24.0×36.6%20.0%15%
    FTVFortive Corporation$19B35.8×18.3×63.2%12.4%9%
    IEXIDEX Corporation$17B32.3×19.3×44.9%14.6%13%
    MTDMettler-Toledo International Inc.$34B36.3×27.1×59.0%22.2%n/m
    NDSNNordson Corporation$18B32.7×20.9×55.3%18.6%18%
    SXIStandex International Corporation$3B28.0×14.5×41.7%11.7%14%
    TDYTeledyne Technologies Incorporated$30B29.9×19.3×38.5%15.8%9%
    • MTD: return on equity is not meaningful (n/m) — book value is below zero.
    • The list of companies is the data vendor's choice, so it can include a company a person would not have picked.

    Market value: the share price times the number of shares — what the whole company is priced at.

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    EV/EBITDA: the price of the whole company (its shares plus its debt, minus its cash) divided by one year of operating profit before interest, tax and write-downs.

    Gross margin: the share of each $1 of sales left after the direct cost of making what was sold.

    Net margin: the share of each $1 of sales kept as profit after every cost. Below zero, the company lost money.

    ROE: return on equity: one year of profit as a share of the shareholders' money in the business (its book value).

    Is it priced high or low compared with its own past?

    Tue 27 Oct

    Priced at 17.2× its last 12 months of profit (Tue 27 Oct close). It has no full fiscal year on file since its history starts, so there is nothing of its own to compare with.

    • Now17.2×

    P/E: the share price divided by one year of profit per share — roughly how many years of today's profit the price pays for. A company that loses money has no P/E.

    Fiscal year (FY): the company's own 12-month accounting year, which need not match the calendar year.

    How has its sector been priced?

    Now–Now · Tue 27 Oct

    Industrials companies on the NASDAQ were priced at a typical 18.4× their yearly profit (Tue 27 Oct close).

    • Now18.4×
    • Each year is the middle of that calendar year's daily sector P/E; "Now" is the Tue 27 Oct close figure, the same one in the table above.

    Sector P/E: the middle P/E of the companies in the same sector on the same stock exchange, as the data vendor works it out each day.

    What does a cash-flow model say a share is worth?

    computed 27 Oct at $435.21

    A standard cash-flow model puts it at $956 a share — 120% above the $435.21 price it was computed against (27 Oct).

    ModelValue a shareAgainst the price then
    Standard$956120% above $435.21
    Levered$82890% above $435.21

    Discounted cash flow: a model's estimate of what the company is worth today, from the cash it is forecast to make in future years. Small changes in the forecast move it a lot, and it says little about a company that loses money.

    Standard / levered: two versions of the cash-flow model: the standard one counts the cash before the company pays its lenders, the levered one after.