Orin
SLBNYSE·Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

SLB N.V. SLB

Market cap $76.7BP/E 24.7× trailingGross margin 16.5%Reports Fri 16 Oct, before the open
$51.66
+0.23 (+0.44%)live 11:20 ET
52-wk $31.64 – $60.46
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Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 3 Sep · take v8. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

SLB remains a hold after a rally that has lifted the stock to $57.15, trading at 27.48x trailing P/E — a 59% premium to the peer median of 17.28x. Q2 2026 revenue grew approximately 5% YoY to $8.97B with a 7.6% earnings beat, but FY2025 saw EPS decline 24% to $2.35 and operating margin compress to 15.3% from 17.4%, leaving full-year profitability well below prior levels.

The $3.4B Kelvion acquisition provides a credible strategic pivot into AI data-center cooling, yet it adds integration risk and capital outlay at a rich valuation. CEO Olivier Le Peuch's string of open-market sales at $52.55–$60.00 in late August and early September, combined with a slightly negative smart-money score of -0.0064, argues against chasing the move.

What could go wrong

  • Oil price downturn. SLB's core oilfield-services business remains levered to upstream capital spending cycles; a sustained drop in crude prices would pressure the Reservoir Performance and Well Construction divisions that anchor revenue.
  • Kelvion integration. The $3.4B cash acquisition adds balance-sheet and execution risk; integration of a thermal-management business may take multiple quarters to realize targeted synergies.
  • Valuation compression. At a 59% P/E premium to the peer median, any disappointing quarter or guide-down could trigger a sharp multiple re-rating lower.
  • Insider selling signal. The CEO's cluster of open-market sales at $52.55–$60.00 in late August through early September 2026, alongside net insider selling of approximately $33.78M over the trailing 24 months, suggests limited confidence in near-term upside.

What would change my mind

Q3 2026 earnings and margin trajectory. Another earnings beat with expanding operating margin would confirm the recovery and support a bullish re-rating; margin compression or a revenue miss would break the thesis.bullish
Kelvion deal progress. Successful regulatory approvals and early evidence of cross-sell synergies would validate the strategic pivot; deal delay or termination would remove a key bull narrative.bullish
Oil price and Middle East dynamics. A sustained collapse in crude prices or de-escalation of Middle East tensions could reduce upstream spending and pressure SLB's core OFS backlog.bearish
Data Center Solutions revenue ramp. Accelerating DCS revenue toward the stated $4.5–5B 2028 target would justify the premium multiple; slower-than-expected adoption would call the valuation into question.bullish

Where this comes from: peer_relative · quarterly_results · earnings_surprises · fundamentals and derived_metrics. Orin's read on SLB; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$4.5B0.1% of fund
State Street$4.3B0.1% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$3.5B0.2% of fund
Price T Rowe Associates /Md/$2.9B0.3% of fund
Charles Schwab Investment Management$2.2B0.3% of fund
Capital World Investors$2.2B0.3% of fund

116 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 116 Form 4 filings, net −$33.8M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 16 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

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Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Energy
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E24.7×17.6×51.1×
EV/EBITDA12.1×11.0×—
P/S2.10×1.83×—
P/B3.0×2.8×—

Its P/E sits above all 5 of the last 5 years (+1.75σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

5.3%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $4.5B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

66 firms · 2026-09-24
Consensus target

$65

$54 – $75 · +25% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 56 buy or overweight
  • 6 hold
  • 4 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 16.4× of 4 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
SLBSLB N.V.$76B24.7×12.1×16.5%8.5%12%
BKRBaker Hughes Company$57B18.2×12.1×23.6%11.2%16%
EOGEOG Resources, Inc.$76B11.1×5.6×70.2%25.7%22%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.$70B20.0×12.6×54.9%19.3%11%
PSXPhillips 66$103B14.5×9.3×9.8%4.6%24%

The median is of the 4 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 51.0% above it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 20.3×FY25 16.1×

What its sector has traded at

Energy
FY14 27.3×FY26 19.8×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$63$56.22 · +12%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$60$56.22 · +8%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $51.66
52-week range$32 – $60
Analyst targets$54 – $75
Standard DCF$63 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $56.22
Levered DCF$60 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $56.22
At own 5y-median P/E (18×)$37
At 5y P/E range (12–22×)$25 – $46
At sector P/E (51×)$106

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.