Orin
SOLVNYSE·Medical - Care Facilities

Solventum Corporation SOLV

Market cap $15.3BP/E 10.8× trailingGross margin 54.7%Reports Thu 5 Nov, after the close
$88.54
+0.17 (+0.19%)live 09:30 ET
52-wk $62.38 – $94.16
Watch
Orin's take
0.68conviction · moderate
Refreshed 22 Aug · take v6. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

Solventum's FY2025 results confirm the post-spinoff turnaround is gaining traction: operating income recovered to $2.18B from $1.04B in FY2024, EPS jumped to $8.88 from $2.76, and total debt was cut from $8.01B to $5.04B. The stock trades at a 62% discount to the peer median P/E (10.7x vs 28.3x) and 43% below peer median EV/EBITDA (7.7x vs 13.6x), while the announced spinoff of the $1.4B Health Information Systems business provides a clear sum-of-the-parts catalyst.

The main caveat is that free cash flow turned negative in FY2025 at -$10M versus $805M in FY2024, and insiders have been net sellers of 8.5M shares over 24 months, but the combination of extreme valuation compression, deleveraging, and portfolio simplification keeps the risk/reward favorable.

What could go wrong

  • FCF deterioration. Free cash flow turned negative at -$10M in FY2025 versus $805M in FY2024, with operating cash flow collapsing to $369M from $1.185B; if this is structural rather than transitional, the equity story weakens significantly.
  • Insider net selling. Over the past 24 months, insiders have net sold 8.45M shares worth $656M, with no open-market purchases; recent transactions are RSU vestings and grants, not discretionary buys.
  • Gross margin compression. Gross margin has declined steadily from 60.25% in FY2021 to 53.47% in FY2025, suggesting persistent cost or mix headwinds that could limit operating leverage.
  • Low revenue growth. Revenue growth has been sub-1% for three consecutive years (0.86% in FY2025, 0.70% in FY2024, 0.82% in FY2023), meaning profit recovery relies entirely on margin expansion rather than top-line momentum.

What would change my mind

HIS spinoff completion. Completion or detailed terms of the Health Information Systems separation, including pro-forma financials for the remaining MedTech entitybullish
FCF recovery. Free cash flow returns to positive territory in upcoming quarterly results, confirming FY2025's negative FCF was transitionalbullish
Margin re-acceleration. Gross margin stabilizes or expands in upcoming quarters, reversing the multi-year decline from 60.25% to 53.47%bullish
Revenue growth stall. Organic revenue growth remains below 1% post-spinoff, confirming the core MedTech business lacks secular demand driversbearish

Where this comes from: FMP annual fundamentals · FMP annual fundamentals · FMP annual fundamentals · peer_relative composite. Orin's read on SOLV; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$742.6M0.0% of fund
Trian Fund Management, L.P$635.5M15.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$488.3M0.0% of fund
State Street$435.1M0.0% of fund
Geode Capital Management$378.3M0.0% of fund
Invesco$255.4M0.0% of fund

77 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 175 Form 4 filings, net −$658.4M. Of the 50 on hand, none was an open-market trade— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

Ask Orin about SOLV

its filings · its transcripts · its numbers

Orin answers questions about SOLV from its filings, transcripts and numbers — with the source behind every claim. Your own desk starts with 3 free days, card required.

Start 3 free days

Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Healthcare
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E10.8×10.3×26.4×
EV/EBITDA7.8×7.0×
P/S1.84×1.69×
P/B3.2×1.2×

Its P/E sits 80th percentile of its own last 5 years (−0.32σ from its own mean).

What Wall Street published

12 firms · 2026-09-23
Consensus target

$91

$43$113 · +3% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 9 buy or overweight
  • 2 hold
  • 1 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 25.7× of 3 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
SOLVSolventum Corporation$15B10.8×7.8×54.7%17.3%29%
ALGNAlign Technology, Inc.$11B25.7×12.2×66.5%10.0%10%
RVTYRevvity, Inc.$16B67.7×23.7×52.1%8.2%3%
UHSUniversal Health Services, Inc.$11B7.4×5.7×90.7%8.4%21%

The median is of the 3 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 58.2% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY20 12.1×FY25 8.9×

What its sector has traded at

Healthcare
FY14 6.5×FY26 28.6×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$142$81.15 · +75%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$99$81.15 · +22%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $88.54
52-week range$62 – $94
Analyst targets$43 – $113
Standard DCF$142 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $81.15
Levered DCF$99 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $81.15
At own 5y-median P/E (10×)$84
At 5y P/E range (9–24×)$73 – $196
At sector P/E (26×)$217

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.