Tennant Company TNC
Tennant Company moves to hold from sell as the stock has corrected meaningfully to $68.02 from the mid-$80s, with RSI at 33.3 signaling oversold conditions and multiple insiders — including director Mulligan's $539K purchase at $67.34 on August 12 — stepping in near current levels. However, the fundamental picture remains weak: FY2025 operating margin compressed to 5.68% from 8.88% in FY2024, Q2 2026 EPS of $0.83 missed estimates of $1.23, and H1 2026 net income collapsed 76.6% to $7.8M, with ERP inefficiencies and parts shortages still unresolved.
At 67x trailing P/E the stock is not cheap, but P/S of 0.95 and EV/EBITDA of 15.1 are below peer medians, suggesting the market has already discounted much of the bad news.
What could go wrong
- Operational disruption persists. ERP-related inefficiencies and North American parts shortages cited in the Q2 2026 call could continue pressuring margins through 2026, with operating margin already down to 5.68% in FY2025 from 11.15% in FY2023.
- Valuation compression on weak earnings. At 67x trailing P/E — 263% above the peer median of 18.5x — any further earnings disappointment could trigger additional multiple contraction despite the stock's recent decline.
- Leadership transition uncertainty. CFO Fay West announced retirement with successor search underway, adding execution risk during a period of operational challenges.
- Competitive pricing pressure in Europe. Management cited competitive pricing pressure in Europe alongside inflationary costs in Q2 2026, which could limit margin recovery even as revenue stabilizes.
What would change my mind
Where this comes from: Zacks news article, 2026-08-05 · Business Wire Q2 2026 results, 2026-08-05 · FMP derived_metrics FY2025 · Insider transaction data. Orin's read on TNC; not advice.
Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings
50-day average 200-day average · volume below
On file
All TNC filingsLargest holders · 13F Q2 2026
Money flow| Filer | Position | Of fund |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Portfolio Management | $103.5M | 0.0% of fund |
| Fmr | $86.0M | 0.0% of fund |
| Alliancebernstein L.P | $80.8M | 0.0% of fund |
| Vanguard Capital Management | $67.1M | 0.0% of fund |
| State Street | $62.3M | 0.0% of fund |
| Geode Capital Management | $41.6M | 0.0% of fund |
47 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows
Insiders, last 24 months: 108 Form 4 filings, net −$4.5M. Of the 50 on hand, 6 were open-market purchases and 2 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.
Ask Orin about TNC
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Start 3 free days →Where it trades
| Metric | Now | Own median | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 66.1× | — | 44.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.8× | — | — |
| P/S | 0.93× | — | — |
| P/B | 2.1× | — | — |
11.3%
free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.0B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.
What Wall Street published
$140
$140 – $140 · +109% against today's price
- 6 buy or overweight
- 2 hold
- 0 underweight or sell
The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.
Against the companies it is compared to
| Company | Market cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA | Gross | Net | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TNCTennant Company | $1B | 66.1× | 14.8× | 38.8% | 1.5% | 3% |
| BWBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. | $918M | — | — | 20.0% | -11.0% | 78% |
| DCODucommun Incorporated | $3B | — | 498.7× | 27.2% | -2.9% | -4% |
| GRCThe Gorman-Rupp Company | $2B | 31.6× | 16.9× | 30.6% | 8.9% | 15% |
| ICFIICF International, Inc. | $2B | 17.1× | 11.7× | 35.6% | 4.9% | 9% |
| NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc. | $1B | 29.5× | 23.1× | 59.2% | 21.3% | 24% |
The median is of the 3 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 124.2% above it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.
What it has traded at
What its sector has traded at
Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.
Every estimate on one scale
The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.