Vontier Corporation VNT
Vontier trades at 13.5x P/E and 10.8x EV/EBITDA, roughly 35-40% below peer medians of 20.9x and 17.9x, despite improving fundamentals: FY2025 FCF expanded to $441M from $345M, total debt declined to $2.14B from $2.20B, and EPS grew to $2.76 from $2.75. Q2 2026 earnings beat consensus ($0.89 vs $0.82) with management raising full-year adjusted EPS guidance, and the EKOS acquisition deepens the fleet connectivity platform.
The stock has pulled back to $32.84 from prior overbought levels above $35, now sitting below the 200-day MA of $34.99 with a neutral RSI of 54.7, offering a better entry point while insiders remain net buyers (~313k shares over 24 months including cluster director buys at $28.91 in June 2026).
What could go wrong
- Revenue stagnation. Revenue has been range-bound between $2.98B and $3.18B over five years; FY2025's $3.08B still trails FY2022's $3.18B, raising questions about organic growth trajectory.
- Leverage. Total debt of $2.14B against stockholders' equity of $1.24B yields a debt-to-equity ratio of ~1.7x, limiting financial flexibility in a downturn.
- EV transition disruption. Core fuel dispensing and convenience retail infrastructure could face long-term displacement from EV adoption, though EKOS acquisition partially addresses this.
- Smart money indifference. Smart money score is essentially flat at -0.0045 as of March 2026, with fund count rising but no meaningful net accumulation signal.
What would change my mind
Where this comes from: peer_relative · FMP fundamentals · Zacks news article 2026-08-06 · insider transactions. Orin's read on VNT; not advice.
Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-23 · actual filings
50-day average 200-day average · volume below
On file
All VNT filingsLargest holders · 13F Q2 2026
Money flow| Filer | Position | Of fund |
|---|---|---|
| Fmr | $430.1M | 0.0% of fund |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management | $266.6M | 0.0% of fund |
| Vanguard Capital Management | $184.3M | 0.0% of fund |
| State Street | $136.4M | 0.0% of fund |
| Woodline Partners | $118.0M | 0.4% of fund |
| Franklin Resources | $115.4M | 0.0% of fund |
65 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows
Insiders, last 24 months: 76 Form 4 filings, net $1.0M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 2 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.
Ask Orin about VNT
Orin answers questions about VNT from its filings, transcripts and numbers — with the source behind every claim. Your own desk starts with 3 free days, card required.
Start 3 free days →Where it trades
| Metric | Now | Own median | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.9× | — | 44.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.4× | — | — |
| P/S | 1.44× | — | — |
| P/B | 3.7× | — | — |
-1.9%
free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.4B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.
What Wall Street published
$38
$35 – $43 · +22% against today's price
- 8 buy or overweight
- 4 hold
- 1 underweight or sell
The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.
Against the companies it is compared to
| Company | Market cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA | Gross | Net | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VNTVontier Corporation | $4B | 12.9× | 10.4× | 46.6% | 11.3% | 28% |
| ARWArrow Electronics, Inc. | $12B | 14.4× | 10.6× | 11.2% | 2.3% | 12% |
| BMIBadger Meter, Inc. | $4B | 31.0× | 19.0× | 41.3% | 14.3% | 18% |
| ESEESCO Technologies Inc. | $7B | 21.9× | 24.9× | 42.0% | 24.4% | 20% |
| INGMIngram Micro Holding Corporation | $6B | 14.8× | 7.5× | 6.6% | 0.8% | 10% |
| ITRIItron, Inc. | $4B | 15.0× | 8.5× | 39.9% | 11.9% | 17% |
| LFUSLittelfuse, Inc. | $11B | — | 38.5× | 39.3% | -0.3% | -0% |
| NOVTNovanta Inc. | $5B | 90.8× | 33.7× | 42.5% | 6.0% | 5% |
| OSISOSI Systems, Inc. | $3B | 22.0× | 18.2× | 33.2% | 8.7% | 18% |
The median is of the 7 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 41.2% below it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.
What it has traded at
What its sector has traded at
Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.
Every estimate on one scale
The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.