Orin
WSTNYSE·Medical - Instruments & Supplies

West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. WST

Market cap $26.1BP/E 47.5× trailingGross margin 36.8%Reports Thu 22 Oct, before the open
$371.54
−2.06 (−0.55%)live 11:25 ET
52-wk $223.83 – $386.00
Watch
Orin's take
0.62conviction · moderate
Refreshed 24 Sep · take v6. A new filing or a print queues the next refresh.

West Pharmaceutical Services is delivering a genuine operational recovery, with Q2 2026 revenue of $872.3M (+13.8% YoY) following Q1 2026's +21.0% YoY growth, and eight consecutive quarterly EPS beats including a 13.9% surprise in the most recent quarter. FCF margin has rebounded to 15.26% for FY2025 from 9.56% in FY2024, and smart money is modestly accumulating (fund count rising from 59 to 64 over three quarters).

However, at 47.8x trailing earnings—a 96% premium to the peer median of 24.4x—and with RSI at 69.8 signaling overbought conditions after a run to $375.87 (26% above the 200-day MA of $298.81), the market has already discounted much of this improvement. Hold for evidence that operating margins can sustainably re-expand toward the mid-20% range rather than the current ~20% level, which would justify the premium multiple.

What could go wrong

  • Valuation compression. WST trades at 47.8x PE vs peer median 24.4x and 7.95x PS vs peer median 2.58x; any deceleration in growth could trigger a sharp de-rating toward peer multiples.
  • Margin recovery stalls. FY2025 operating margin of 20.09% remains well below the FY2021 peak of 26.8%; if gross margin does not continue recovering from 35.89% toward historical levels above 39%, the premium valuation becomes harder to justify.
  • Technical overbought. RSI at 69.8 with the stock 26% above its 200-day MA ($298.81) leaves limited near-term upside and elevated pullback risk.
  • Insider selling pattern. Recent insider transactions show routine option exercises at $89.64 followed by same-day sales at $345–$365, with no open-market buying; net insider activity over 24 months is positive but driven by option exercises rather than discretionary purchases.

What would change my mind

Operating margin re-expansion. Quarterly operating margin sustains above 22% for two consecutive quarters, indicating structural margin recovery toward historical levels.bullish
Revenue growth deceleration. Quarterly YoY revenue growth falls below 8%, signaling that the current acceleration is fading.bearish
Multiple de-rating. PE compresses below 35x while earnings continue growing, improving the risk/reward for entry.bullish
EPS miss or guidance cut. WST reports a quarterly EPS below consensus estimate, breaking the eight-quarter beat streak.bearish

Where this comes from: quarterly_results, Q2 2026 · quarterly_results, Q1 2026 · earnings_surprises · derived_metrics. Orin's read on WST; not advice.

Twelve months actual closes to 2026-09-24 · actual filings

Sept 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26

50-day average 200-day average · volume below

Largest holders · 13F Q2 2026

Money flow
FilerPositionOf fund
Vanguard Capital Management$1.7B0.0% of fund
Vanguard Portfolio Management$1.4B0.1% of fund
Fmr$1.3B0.1% of fund
State Street$1.2B0.0% of fund
Bank of New York Mellon$733.7M0.1% of fund
Geode Capital Management$680.6M0.0% of fund

88 filers · quarter ended Q2 2026 · positions, not flows

Insiders, last 24 months: 117 Form 4 filings, net $18.4M. Of the 50 on hand, 0 were open-market purchases and 6 sales— the rest are grants, option exercises and tax withholding.

Ask Orin about WST

its filings · its transcripts · its numbers

Orin answers questions about WST from its filings, transcripts and numbers — with the source behind every claim. Your own desk starts with 3 free days, card required.

Start 3 free days →

Where it trades

vs its own 5y · Healthcare
MetricNowOwn medianSector
P/E47.5×44.1×26.4×
EV/EBITDA31.8×30.3×—
P/S7.90×8.27×—
P/B8.8×8.9×—

Its P/E sits 60th percentile of its own last 5 years (+0.56σ from its own mean).

What the price assumes

21.8%

free-cash-flow growth every year for 10 years, discounted at 10%, is what today’s price implies — starting from $0.5B of trailing free cash flow. It is an assumption the market is making, not a forecast Orin is making.

What Wall Street published

16 firms · 2026-09-24
Consensus target

$413

$390 – $447 · +11% against today's price

How they rate it
  • 13 buy or overweight
  • 2 hold
  • 1 underweight or sell

The analysts’ consensus and their own ratings, not Orin’s. A target is a twelve-month opinion published by the firm that wrote it.

Against the companies it is compared to

median P/E 24.8× of 7 peers
CompanyMarket capP/EEV/EBITDAGrossNetROE
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.$26B47.5×31.8×36.8%17.0%19%
COOThe Cooper Companies, Inc.$11B18.9×14.5×63.6%13.5%7%
DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$26B24.8×15.9×33.1%9.2%14%
INCYIncyte Corporation$25B15.3×10.4×92.6%27.7%30%
LHLabcorp Holdings Inc.$25B25.4×14.9×27.8%7.0%12%
STESTERIS plc$20B25.5×12.1×44.4%13.3%11%
WATWaters Corporation$42B107.0×52.4×50.8%3.6%2%
ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.$17B21.7×12.5×69.9%9.5%6%

The median is of the 7 peers listed above and nothing else — check it against the column. This company trades 91.5% above it. The peer set is the vendor’s, so a company can appear here that a person would not have chosen.

What it has traded at

P/E by fiscal year
FY14 29.7×FY25 40.3×

What its sector has traded at

Healthcare
FY14 6.5×FY26 28.5×

Two scales, drawn separately on purpose: a sector median and one company’s multiple are not the same number and putting them on one axis invites a comparison neither series supports.

Discounted cash flow

not recomputed since
ModelFair valueAgainstComputed
Standard DCF$93$330.94 · −72%2026-06-10
Levered DCF$98$330.94 · −70%2026-06-10

The vendor’s intrinsic-value models. Treat them as a low-growth anchor — for a fast grower the market routinely pays well above a DCF. These were computed against the price in the “against” column, not today’s.

Every estimate on one scale

price $371.54
52-week range$224 – $386
Analyst targets$390 – $447
Standard DCF$93 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $330.94
Levered DCF$98 as of 2026-06-10, when it was $330.94
At own 5y-median P/E (44×)$347
At 5y P/E range (30–53×)$235 – $415
At sector P/E (26×)$208

The vertical rule is the current price. Ranges and point estimates are the backend’s, published as they were calculated; an arrow means the estimate sits beyond this scale, and its number is on the right.